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Work Packages

WP1

WP1: Impact modelling and risk-based warnings

Univ.-Prof. Dr. Henning Rust, Univ.-Prof. Dr. Uwe Ulbrich, Dr. Nico Becker, Dr. Martin Göber, M.Sc. Bianca Wentzel

Over the past decades, weather forecasts have been continuously improved. In addition to pure weather forecasting, the prediction of weather impacts is now becoming more and more important. Particularly in the case of extreme weather events, understanding the risks and impacts of the events is of ...

WP2

WP2: Effectively communicating probabilistic impact forecasts for severe weather conditions using cognitive and behavioural science

Dr. Nadine Fleischhut, Prof. Dr. Ralph Hertwig, Dr. Stefan M. Herzog

Despite good forecasts and warnings, people may misperceive weather risks and fail to respond appropriately. Their understanding of forecast uncertainty has long been a major concern (Joslyn and Savelli, 2010, Spiegelhalter et al., 2011); more recently, understanding weather risks and impacts has ...

AP3

WP3: Organisationale Praktiken der Antizipation und Reaktion auf zukünftige Wetterereignisse

Univ.-Prof. Dr. Lars Gerhold, Dr. Thomas Kox, M. Sc. Sophie Kröling

Since the communication of forecast uncertainty allows the weather services to provide information on a potentially severe weather event at an earlier point in time (Hirschberg et al., 2011), possible (coping) measures can be started at an earlier point in time. However, this shift from the coping ...

WP4

WP4: Improving coping capacities of the public regarding weather risks through usergroup specific warning communication formats

Dr. Katja Schulze

Within WP 4 we will to deepen our understanding regarding the public’s perception and use of weather risk information. Based on the results of HErZ II we aim at improving to address the informational needs of public user-groups with customised appropriate warning messages based upon preferences ...

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