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Publications

Accepted, under review or submitted

Published in peer-reviewed journals

2023

Hohenegger, C., Ament, F., Beyrich, F., Löhnert, U., Rust, H., Bange, J., Böck, T., Böttcher, C., Boventer, J., Burgemeister, F., Clemens, M., Detring, C., Detring, I., Dewani, N., Duran, I. B., Fiedler, S., Göber, M., van Heerwaarden, C., Heusinkveld, B., Kirsch, B., Klocke, D., Knist, C., Lange, I., Lauermann, F., Lehmann, V., Lehmke, J., Leinweber, R., Lundgren, K., Masbou, M., Mauder, M., Mol, W., Nevermann, H., Nomokonova, T., Päschke, E., Platis, A., Reichardt, J., Rochette, L., Sakradzija, M., Schlemmer, L., Schmidli, J., Shokri, N., Sobottke, V., Speidel, J., Steinheuer, J., Turner, D. D., Vogelmann, H., Wedemeyer, C., Weide-Luiz, E., Wiesner, S., Wildmann, N., Wolz, K. and Wetz, T.: FESSTVaL: the Field Experiment on Submesoscale Spatio Temporal Variability in Lindenberg, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, American Meteorological Society, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0330.1

Battaglioli, F., Groenemeijer, P., Púčik, T., Taszarek, M., Ulbrich, U. and Rust, H.: Modelled multidecadal trends of lightning and (very) large hail in Europe and North America (1950–2021), Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, American Meteorological Society, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-22-0195.1

Riebold, J., Richling, A., Ulbrich, U., Rust, H., Semmler, T. and Handorf, D.: On the linkage between future Arctic sea ice retreat, Euro-Atlantic circulation regimes and temperature extremes over Europe, Weather and Climate Dynamics, Copernicus GmbH, 2023, Vol. 4(3), pp. 663-682. https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-663-2023

Fauer, F. S. and Rust, H. W.: Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe, Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-023-02515-z

Sieg, T., Kienzler, S., Rözer, V., Vogel, K., Rust, H., Bronstert, A., Kreibich, H., Merz, B. and Thieken, A. H.: Toward an adequate level of detail in flood risk assessments, Journal of Flood Risk Management, Wiley, 2023. http://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12889

Göber, M., Christel, I., Hoffmann, D., Mooney, C. J., Rodriguez, L., Becker, N., Ebert, E. E., Fearnley, C., Fundel, V. J., Geiger, T., Golding, B., Jeurig, J., Kelman, I., Kox, T., Magro, F.-A., Perrels, A., Postigo, J. C., Potter, S. H., Robbins, J., Rust, H., Schoster, D., Tan, M. L., Taylor, A. and Williams, H.: Enhancing the Value of Weather and Climate Services in Society: Identified Gaps and Needs as Outcomes of the First WMO WWRP/SERA Weather and Society Conference, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, American Meteorological Society, 2023, Vol. 104(3), pp. E645-E651. https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-22-0199.1

2022

Caldas-Alvarez, A., Augenstein, M., Ayzel, G., Barfus, K., Cherian, R., Dillenardt, L., Fauer, F., Feldmann, H., Heistermann, M., Karwat, A., Kaspar, F., Kreibich, H., Lucio-Eceiza, E. E., Meredith, E. P., Mohr, S., Niermann, D., Pfahl, S., Ruff, F., Rust, H. W., Schoppa, L., Schwitalla, T., Steidl, S., Thieken, A. H., Tradowsky, J. S., Wulfmeyer, V., and Quaas, J.: Meteorological, impact and climate perspectives of the 29 June 2017 heavy precipitation event in the Berlin metropolitan area, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3701–3724, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3701-2022, 2022.

Becker, N., Rust, H.W. & Ulbrich, U. Weather impacts on various types of road crashes: a quantitative analysis using generalized additive models. Eur. Transp. Res. Rev. 14, 37 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12544-022-00561-2

Becker, N., Rust, H.W. & Ulbrich, U. Modeling hourly weather-related road traffic variations for different vehicle types in Germany. Eur. Transp. Res. Rev. 14, 16 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12544-022-00539-0

Otero, N., Jurado, O. E., Butler, T., and Rust, H. W.: The impact of atmospheric blocking on the compounding effect of ozone pollution and temperature: a copula-based approach, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 1905–1919, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-1905-2022, 2022.

R. Polzin, A. Müller, H. W. Rust, P. Névir, P. Koltai: Direct Bayesian model reduction of smaller scale convective activity conditioned on large scale dynamics, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 29, 37–52, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-29-37-2022, 2022.

2021

Otero, N., Rust, H. W. and Butler, T.: Temperature dependence of tropospheric ozone under NOx reductions over Germany, Atmospheric Environment, Elsevier BV, 2021, Vol. 253, pp. 118334. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2021.118334

C. Detring, L. Schielicke, A. Müller, P. Névir, H.W. Rust, Occurrence and transition probabilities of Omega and High-over-Low blocking in the Euro-Atlantic region, Weather Clim Dynam., 2, 927-952, 2021

F. Fauer, J. Ulrich, O. Jurado, H. W. Rust, Flexible and Consistent Quantile Estimation for Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves, Hydrol. Earth. Sys. Sci., 25, 6479–6494, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-6479-2021, 2021

A. Pasternack, J. Grieger, H. W. Rust, U. Ulbrich: Recalibrating Decadal Climate Predictions – What is an adequate model for the drift?, Geosci. Model Dev. 14, 4335–4355, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-4335-2021, 2021

E. P. Meredith, . Ulbrich, H. W. Rust, H. Truhetz: Present and future diurnal hourly precipitation in 0.11° EURO-CORDEX models and at convection-permitting resolution. Envir. Res. Comm. 3(5), 055002. https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/abf15e, 2021

C .Kadow, S. Illing, E. E. Lucio-Eceiza, M. Bergemann, M. Ramadoss, P. S. Sommer, O. Kunst, T. Schartner, K. Pankatz , J. Grieger, M. Schuster, A. Richling, H. Thiemann, I. Kirchner,  H. W. Rust, T. Ludwig, U. Cubasch, U. Ulbrich Introduction to Freva – A Free Evaluation System Framework for Earth System Modeling. J. Open Res. Software, 9(1) (2021)

2020

Becker, N., Rust, H. W., and Ulbrich, U.: Predictive modeling of hourly probabilities for weather-related road accidents, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2857–2871, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2857-2020, 2020.

O. E. Jurado, J. Ulrich, M. Scheibel, H. W. Rust: Evaluating the Performance of a Max-Stable Process for Estimating Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves.Water2020, 12, 3314

J. Ulrich, O. E. Jurado, M. Peter, M. Scheibel, H. W. Rust: Estimating IDF Curves Consistently over Durations with Spatial Covariates.Water2020, 12, 3119

E. Rousi, H.W. Rust, U. Ulbrich, C. Anagnostopoulou: Winter NAO flavors and their effects on European climate.Climate, 2020

2019

H. Feldmann, J. G. Pinto, N. Laube, M. Uhlig, J. Moemken, A. Pasternack, B. Früh, H. Pohlmann, C. Kottmeier: Characterization of Skill and Added Value of the MiKlip Regional Decadal Prediction System for Temperature over Europe. Tellus A, 2019

E. Meredith, H. W. Rust, U. Ulbrich: The diurnal nature of future extreme precipitation intensification. Geophy. Res. Lett., 2019

Y. Liu, M. Donat, H. W. Rust, l. Alexander, M. England: Decadal predictability of temperature and precipitation means and extremes in a perfect-model experiment. Clim. Dyn, 2019

K. Fackeldey, P. Koltai, P. Névir, H. W. Rust, A. Schild, M. Weber: From Metastable to Coherent Sets – Time-Discretization Schemes. Chaos 29(1):012101, 2019

2018

M. Fischer, H. W. Rust, U. Ulbrich: A spatial and seasonal climatology of extreme precipitation return-levels: A
case study
. Spatial Statistics, 2018

S.Kremser, J. S. Tradowsky, H. W. Rust, G. E. Bodeker: Is it feasible to estimate radiosonde biases from interlaced measurements? Atmos. Measure. Tech., 11: 3021 - 3029, 2018

S. Liersch, J. Teckenburg, H. W. Rust, A. Dobler, M. Fischer, T. Kruschke, H. Koch, F. Hattermann: Are we using the right fuel to drive hydrological models? A climate impact study in the Upper Blue Nile, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.,2018

E. P. Meredith, H. W. Rust, U. Ulbrich: A classification algorithm for selective dynamical downscaling of precipitation ex-
tremes,
Hydrol. Earth. Syst. Sci., 22,4183 - 4200, 2018

N. Otero, J. Silmann, K. A. Mar, H. W. Rust, et al.: A multi-model comparison of meteorological drivers of surface ozone over Europe. Atmos. Chem. Phys.,2018.

A. Pasternack, H. W. Rust, J. Bhend, M. Liniger, W. A. Müller: Parametric Decadal Climate Forecast Recalibration, Geosci. Model Develop., 2018

A. Paxian, M. Ziese, F. Kreienkamp, K. Pankatz, S. Brand, A. Pasternack, H. Pohlmann, K. Modali, B. Früh: User-oriented global predictions of the GPCC drought index for the next decade, Meteorol. Z.,2018.

2017

M. Fischer, H. W. Rust, U. Ulbrich: Seasonal Cycle in German Daily Precipitation Extremes, Meteorol. Z. 2018, DOI: 10.1127/metz/2017/0845

C. Ritschel, H.W. Rust, U. Ulbrich: Precipitation extremes on multiple time scales -- Bartlett-Lewis Rectangular Pulse Model and Intensity-Duration-Frequency curves, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.

M. Walz, T. Kruschke, H. W. Rust, G. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich: Quantifying the extremity of windstorms for regions featuring infrequent events, Atmos. Sci. Lett., 2017, DOI: 10.1002/asl.758

2016

S. Babian, H. W. Rust, K. Prömmel, J. Grieger, U. Cubasch: Representation of Antarctic Oscillation and related precipitation in the MPI Earth System Model, Meteorol. Z., 2016, 767-774, DOI: 10.1127/metz/2016/0661

F. Kaspar, H. W. Rust, U. Ulbrich and P. Becker: Verification and process oriented validation of the MiKlip decadal prediction system. Meteorol. Z., 629 - 630, 2016, DOI: 10.1127/metz/2016/0831

J. Marotzke, W. A. Müller, F. S. E. Vamborg, P. Becker, U. Cubasch, H. Feldmann, F. Kaspar, C. Kottmeier, C. Marini, I. Polkova, K. Prömmel, H. W. Rust, D. Stammer, U. Ulbrich, C. Kadow, A. Köhl, J. Kröger, T. Kruschke, J. G. Pinto, H. Pohlmann, M. Reyers, M. Schröder, F. Sienz, C. Timmreck, M. Ziese: MiKlip - a National Research Project on Decadal Climate Prediction, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2016, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00184.1.

Otero Felipe, N., Sillmann, J., Schnell, J. L., Rust, H. W., Butler, T. M.: Synoptic and meteorological drivers of extreme ozone concentrations over Europe. - Environ. Res. Lett., 11, 2, 024005, 2016. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/2/024005

A list of earlier publications could be find here