Wissenschaftliche Veröffentlichungen

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2018

Pasternack, Alexander; Rust, Henning; Bhend, J.; Liniger, M.; Müller, W. A.; Ulbrich, Uwe; Parametric decadal climate forecast recalibration (DeFoReSt 1.0) in: Geoscientific Model Development. - 11 (2018), 1, 351-368, ISSN: 1991-9603. - DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-351-2018. - URL: https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/11/351/2018/. - URN: http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-351-201

Fischer, Madlen; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Seasonal Cycle in German Daily Precipitation Extremes in: Meteorologische Zeitschrift. - 27 (2018), 1, 3-13, ISSN: 0941-2948. - DOI: 10.1127/metz/2017/0845. - URL: http://www.schweizerbart.de/papers/metz/detail/27/88248/Seasonal_Cycle_in_German_Daily_Precipitation_Extre?af=crossref. - URN: http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/metz/2017/0845

2017

Dobler, Andreas; Feldmann, Hendrik; Ulbrich, Uwe: Grenzen und Herausforderungen der regionalen Klimamodellierung. Klimawandel in Deutschland. Springer Spektrum. Pages: 37 - 44. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-662-50397-3
Mazza, Edoardo; Ulbrich, Uwe; Klein, Rupert (2017) : The Tropical Transition of the October 1996 Medicane in the Western Mediterranean Sea: A Warm Seclusion Event. Monthly Weather Review, S. 2575 - 2595. DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0474.1
Höschel, Ines; Grieger, Jens; Ulbrich, Uwe; Decadal predictability of winter windstorm frequency in Eastern Europe in: Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 19 (2017), EGU2017-6853
Walz, Michael A.; Kruschke, Tim; Leckebusch, Gregor; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Quantifying the extremity of windstorms for regions featuring infrequent events in: RMetS (2017) DOI: 10.1002/asl.758. - URL: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl.758/references
Walz, Michael A.; Kruschke, Tim; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Leckebusch, Gregor; Quantifying the extremity of windstorms for regions featuring infrequent events in: Atmospheric Science Letters. - 18 (2017), 7, 315-322 ISSN: 1530261X. - DOI: 10.1002/asl.758. - URL: http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/asl.758. - URN: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asl.758
Ritschel, Christoph; Nevir, Peter; Ulbrich, Uwe; Rust, Henning; Precipitation extremes on multiple timescales – Bartlett–Lewis rectangular pulse model and intensity–duration–frequency curves in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. - 21 (2017), 12, 6501-6517, ISSN: 1607-7938. - DOI: 10.5194/hess-21-6501-2017. - URL: https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/21/6501/2017/. - URN: http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6501-2017
Grieger, Jens; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Bias adjustment for climate predictions: an overview in: EGU. - 19 (2017), EGU2017-15237
Fischer, Madlen; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; A spatial and seasonal climatology of extreme precipitation return-levels: A case study in: Spatial Statistics (2017), ISSN: 22116753. - DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2017.11.007. - URL: https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2211675317300283. - URN: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.spasta.2017.11.007

2016

May, Wilhelm; Ganske, Anette; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Rockel, Burkhardt; Tinz, Birger; Ulbrich, Uwe: Projected Change - Atmosphere. North Sea Region Climate Change Assessment. Springer International Publishing. Pages: 149 - 173. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-39745-0_5
Kadow, Christopher; Illing, Sebastian; Kunst, Oliver; Rust, Henning W.; Pohlmann, Holger; Müller, Wolfgang A.; Cubasch, Ulrich: Evaluation of forecasts by accuracy and spread in the MiKlip decadal climate prediction system. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. - 25 (2016), 6, S. 631-643, ISSN: 0941-2948. - DOI: 10.1127/metz/2015/0639
Otero Felipe, Noelia; Sillman, Jana; Schnell, J. L.; Rust, Henning; Butler, Tim M. : Synoptic and meteorological drivers of extreme ozone concentrations over Europe . Environmental Research Letters. - 11 (2016), 2, 024005 - ISSN: 1748-9326. - DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/2/024005
Befort, Daniel J.; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Cubasch, Ulrich : Intraseasonal variability of the Indian summer monsoon : wet and dry events in COSMO-CLM . Climate Dynamics. - 47 (2016), 7-8, S. 2635-2651. ISSN: 0930-7575. - DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-2989-7

Befort, Daniel J.; Wild, Simon; Kruschke, Tim; Ulbrich, Uwe; Leckebusch, Gregor C.: Different long-term trends of extra-tropical cyclones and windstorms in ERA-20C and NOAA-20CR reanalyses. ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS Volume: 17 Issue: 11 Pages: 586-595, DOI: 10.1002/asl.694
Pardowitz, Tobias; Befort, Daniel J.; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Ulbrich, Uwe: Estimating uncertainties from high resolution simulations of extreme wind storms and consequences for impacts. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. - 25 (2016), 5, S. 531-541, ISSN: 0941-2948. - DOI: 10.1127/metz/2016/0582.
Pardowitz, Tobias; Osinski, Robert; Kruschke, Tim; Ulbrich, Uwe: An analysis of uncertainties and skill in forecasts of winter storm losses. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. - 16 (2016), 11, S. 2391-2402, ISSN: 1684-9981. - DOI: 10.5194/nhess-16-2391-2016.
Schielicke, Lisa; Nevir, Peter; Ulbrich, Uwe: Kinematic vorticity number : Kinematic vorticity number: a tool for estimating vortex sizes and circulations. Tellus A. - 68 (2016), Artikel Nr. 29464 ( ), ISSN: 0280-6495. - DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v68.29464.
Marotzke, Jochem; Cubasch, Ulrich; Müller, Wolfgang; Vamborg, Freja; Becker, Paul; Feldmann, Hendrik; Kasper, Frank; Kottmeier, Christoph; Marini, Camille; Polkova, Juliia; Prömmel, Kerstin; Rust, Henning; Stammer, Detlef; Ulbrich, Uwe; Kadow, Christopher; Kohl, Armin; Kröger, Jürgen; Kruschke, Tim; Pinto, Joaquim; Pohlmann, Holger; Reyers, Mark; Schröder, Mark; Sienz, Frank; Timmreck, Claudia; Ziese, Markus: MiKlip: A National Research Project on Decadal Climate Prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. - 97 (2016), 12, 2379-2394 . ISSN: 0003-0007. - DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00184.1.
Hellmer, H. H.; Rhein, M.; Heinemann, G.; Abalichin, Janna; Abouchami, W.; Baars, O.; Cubasch, Ulrich; Dethloff, K.; Ebner, L.; Fahrbach, E.; Frank, M.; Gollan, G.; Greatbatch, R.; Grieger, Jens; Gryanik, V.; Gryschka, M.; Hauck, J.; Hoppema, M.; Huhn, O.; Langematz, Ulrike: Meteorology and oceanography of the Atlantic sector of the Southern Ocean—a review of German achievements from the last decade. Ocean Dynamics. - 66 (2016), 11, 1379-1413, ISSN: 1616-7341. - DOI: 10.1007/s10236-016-0988-1.
Rousi, Eftychia; Ulbrich, Uwe; Rust, Henning; Anagnostopoulou, Christina: An NAO Climatology in Reanalysis Data with the Use of Self-organizing Maps. Perspectives on Atmospheric Sciences (2016), 719-724, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-35095-0_103.
Kaspar, F.; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Becker, P.: Verification and process oriented validation of the MiKlip decadal prediction system. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. - 25 (2016), 6, 629-630,
ISSN: 0941-2948. - DOI: 10.1127/metz/2016/0831.
Grieger, Jens; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Ulbrich, Uwe: Net Precipitation of Antarctica: Thermodynamical and Dynamical Parts of the Climate Change Signal. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, Volume: 29 Issue: 3 Pages: 907-924
Kruschke, Tim; Rust, Henning W.; Kadow, Christopher; Müller, Wolfgang A,M Pohlmann, Holger; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Ulbrich, Uwe: Probabilistic evaluation of decadal prediction skill regarding Northern Hemisphere winter storms. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, Volume: 25, Issue: 6, Pages: 721-738. DOI: 10.1127/metz/2015/0641
Lionello, Piero; Trigo, Isabel F.; Gil, Victoria; Liberato, Margarida L. R.; Nissen, Katrin M.; Pinto, Joaquim G.; Raible, Christoph C.; Reale, Marco; Tanzarella, Annalisa; Trigo, Ricardo M.; Ulbrich, Sven; Ulbrich, Uwe: Objective climatology of cyclones in the Mediterranean region: a consensus view among methods with different system identification and tracking criteria. TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY , Volume: 68 , Article Number: 29391. DOI: 10.3402/tellusa.v68.29391
Lionello, P., Trigo, I. F., Gil, V., Liberato, M. L. R., Nissen, K. M., Pinto, J. G., Raible, C. C., Reale, M., Tanzarella, A., Trigo, R. M., Ulbrich, S. and Ulbrich, U.: Objective climatology of cyclones in the Mediterranean region: a consensus view among methods with different system identification and tracking criteria. TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY (2016)
Ulbrich, U.: Warum sieht man manchmal zwei Regenbögen nebeneinander? National geographic / Deutschland. - 2016 (2016), 8, Seite 24, ISSN: 1615-0872. - URL: http://www.nationalgeographic.de/die-welt-von-ng/eine-frage-herr-professor/warum-sieht-man-manchmal-zwei-regenboegen-nebeneinander
Becker, N., Ulbrich, U.: Reliability of windstorm predictions in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system, Geophysical research abstracts. - 18 (2016), Seite EGU2016-15684, ISSN: 1607-7962. - URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2016/EGU2016-15684.pdf
Grieger, J., Kröner, I., Höschel, I., Rust, H. W., Ulbrich, U.: Stratified verification of decadal mid-latitude cyclones and wind storms forecasts, Geophysical research abstracts. - 18 (2016), Seite EGU2016-13280, ISSN: 1607-7962. - URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2016/EGU2016-13280.pdf

2015

Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Kruschke, Tim; Dobler, Andreas; Fischer, Madlen: Discontinuous Daily Temperatures in the WATCH Forcing Datasets, J. Hydrometeorol. (2015), 1, 465-472, DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-14-0123.1.
Kox, Thomas; Gerhold, Lars; Ulbrich, Uwe: Perception and use of uncertainty in severe weather warnings by emergency services in Germany, Atmos. Res. - 158/159 (2015), S. 292-301, DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2014.02.024.
Wapler, Kathrin; Harnisch, Florian; Pardowitz, Tobias; Senf, Fabian: Characterisation and predictability of a strong and a weak forcing severe convective event : a multi-data approach . Meteorologische Zeitschrift. - 24 (2015), 4, S. 393-410. ISSN: 0941-2948. - DOI: 10.1127/metz/2015/0625.
Lorenz, P.; Kruschke, Tim; Voigt, Maximilian; Ulbrich, Uwe; Leckebusch, Gregor; Faust, E.; Hofherr, T.; Majewski, D.: An approach to build an event set of European wind storms based on ECMWF EPS, Nat. Hazard. Earth. Sys. Discussions. - 3 (2015), 2, 1231-1268, DOI: 10.5194/nhessd-3-1231-2015.
Rust, Henning; Richling, Andy; Bissolli, Peter; Ulbrich, Uwe: Linking teleconnection patterns to European temperature – a multiple linear regression model, Meteorol. Z. - 24 (2015), 4, S. 411-423, DOI: 10.1127/metz/2015/0642.
Dayan, U.; Nissen, Katrin; Ulbrich, Uwe : Atmospheric conditions inducing extreme precipitation over the eastern and western Mediterranean . Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. - 15 (2015), 11, S. 2525-2544. ISSN: 1684-9981. - DOI: 10.5194/nhess-15-2525-2015.
Becker, N., Ulbrich, U., Klein, Rupert: Systematic large-scale secondary circulations in a regional climate model, Geophysical Research Letters. - 42 (2015), 10, 4142-4149, DOI: 10.1002/2015GL063955.
Befort, D.J.; Fischer, M., Leckebusch, G.C., Ulbrich, U., Ganske, A., Rosenhagen, G., Heinrich, H.: Identification of storm surge events over the German Bight from atmospheric reanalysis and climate model data, Nat. Hazard. Earth. Sys. (NHESS) (2015), 1437-1447, DOI: 10.5194/nhess-15-1437-2015
Pardowitz, T., Heisterkamp, T., Göber, M., Ulbrich, U.: Prediction of weather related fire brigade operations on the basis of nowcasting data, EMS annual meeting. - 12 (2015), Abstract Nr. EMS2015-592, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EMS2015/EMS2015-592.pdf
Pardowitz, T., Osinski, R., Ulbrich, U.: Predictability of winter storm damages, EMS annual meeting abstracts. - 12 (2015), Abstract Nr. EMS2015-593, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EMS2015/EMS2015-593.pdf
May, W., Ganske, A., Leckebusch, G. C., Rockel, B., Tinz, B., Ulbrich, U.: Climate changes in the North Sea region : a review of recent assessments, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-1370-1
Kruschke, T., Rust, H. W., Kadow, C., Ulbrich, U., Leckebusch, G. C.: Skill of probabilistic decadal forecasts regarding the frequencies of Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical cyclones, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-12298
Höschel, I., Grieger, J., Rust, H. W., Ulbrich, U., Cubasch, U.: The 1990s warming in the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in hindcasts of the MiKlip decadal prediction system, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-9093, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2015/EGU2015-9093.pdf
Kröner, I., Rust, H. W., Kruschke, T., Ulbrich, U.: Reliability of predicting the number of frost days in the MiKlip decadal prediction system, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-12962, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2015/EGU2015-12962.pdf
Mazza, E., Ulbrich, U., Klein, R.: From baroclinic to barotropic: the evolution of Medicane Cornelia, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-11605
Walz, M., Kruschke, T., Rust, H., Leckebusch, G. C., Ulbrich, U.: Development of a Distribution-Independent Storm Severity Index (DISSI), Geophysical Research Abstracts Vol. 17, EGU2015-11078-1,. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-11078-1, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2015/EGU2015-11078-1.pdf
Grieger, J., Leckebusch, G. C., Ulbrich, U.: Mechanisms of Antarctic net precipitation climate change signals, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-10429, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2015/EGU2015-10429.pdf

2014

Kruschke, Tim; Rust, Henning W.; Kadow, Christopher; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Ulbrich, Uwe: Evaluating decadal predictions of northern hemispheric cyclone frequencies, Tellus A. - 66 (2014), Artikel Nr. 22830 (15 S.), DOI: 10.3402/tellusa.v66.22830.
Nissen, Katrin M.; Ulbrich, Uwe; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Kuhnel, Ivan: Decadal windstorm activity in the North Atlantic-European sector and its relationship to the meridional overturning circulation in an ensemble of simulations with a coupled climate model, Climate Dynamics. - 43 (2014), 5/6, 1545-1555, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1975-6.
Grieger, Jens; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Donat, Markus G.; Schuster, Mareike; Ulbrich, Uwe: Southern Hemisphere winter cyclone activity under recent and future climate conditions in multi-model AOGCM simulations, Int. J. Climatol. - 34 (2014), 12, 3400-3416, DOI: 10.1002/joc.3917.
Merz, Bruno; Aerts, J.; Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K.; Baldi, M.; Becker, A.; Bichet, A.; Böschl, G.; Bouwer, L.M.; Brauer, A.; Cioffi, F.; Delgado, J.M.; Gocht, M.; Guzzetti, F.; Harrigan, S.; Hirschboeck, K.; Kilsby, C.; Kron, W.; Kwon, H.-H.; Lall, U.; Merz, R.; Nissen, Katrin; Salvatti, P.; Swierczynski, T.; Ulbrich, Uwe; Viglione, A.: Floods and climate: emerging perspectives for flood risk assessment and management, Nat. Hazard. Earth. Sys. - 14 (2014), 7, 1921-1942, DOI: 10.5194/nhess-14-1921-2014.
Nied, Manuela; Pardowitz, Tobias; Nissen, Katrin; Ulbrich, Uwe; Hundecha, Yeshewatesfa; Merz, Bruno: On the relationship between hydro-meteorological patterns and flood types, J. Hydrometeorol. - 519 (2014), 3249-3262, DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.09.089.
Lionello, Piero; Abrantes, Fatima; Gacic, Miroslav; Planton, Serge; Trigo, Ricardo; Ulbrich, Uwe: The climate of the Mediterranean region : research progress and climate change impacts, Regional Environmental Change. - 14 (2014), 5, 1679-1684, DOI: 10.1007/s10113-014-0666-0.
Garcia-Herrera, R. F.; Lionello, Piero; Ulbrich, Uwe: Preface: Understanding dynamics and current developments of climate extremes in the Mediterranean region, Nat. Hazard. Earth. Sys. - 14 (2014), 2, 309-316, DOI: 10.5194/nhess-14-309-2014.
Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe (Hrsg.): Meteorol. Z. Special Issue : Verification and Process Oriented Validation of the MiKlip Decadal Prediction System, Deutschland: Borntraeger, 2014
V. Guemas, L. Auger, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, H.W. Rust, A. Ribes: Dealing with data dependencies when applying statistical hypothesis tests for climate time series (accepted by Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. 2014)
Kruschke, T., Rust, H. W., Kadow, C., Leckebusch, G. C., Ulbrich, U.: Evaluating probabilistic decadal forecasts of Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical cyclone frequencies, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-12360,URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-12360.pdf
Kröner, I., Kruschke, T., Rust, H. W., Ulbrich, U.: Decadal predictability of frost days in the MPI-ESM-LR model, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-11963-1, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-11963.pdf
Schuster, M., Donat, M., Grieger, J., Leckebusch, G. C., Ulbrich, U.: Climate change of Southern Hemisphere cyclone activity and its possible mechanisms, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-4041-1, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-4041-1.pdf
Schartner, T., Ulbrich, U., Nevir, P.: Development of key atmospheric parameters during thunderstorm development in Central Europe, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-11681, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-11681.pdf
Lionello, P., Trigo, I. F., Gil Alfonso, V., Liberato, M. L. R., Nissen, K., Pinto, J. G., Reale, M., Trigo, R. M., Ulbrich, U,. Ulbrich, S.: Objective climatologies of cyclones in the Mediterranean region : implications of system identification and tracking criteria, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-7972, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-7972.pdfThürkow, Markus; Kirchner, Ingo; Ulbrich, Uwe; Weiher, Stefan; Will, A.: Relevance of meso-scales a two-way-nesting approach, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-11424
Heisterkamp, T., Ulbrich, U., Glade, T., Tetzlaff, G.: Influence of warning information changes on emergency response, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-13167, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-13167.pdf

2013

Ulbrich, Uwe; Xoplaki, Elena; Dobricic, Srdjan; García-Herrera, Ricardo; Lionello, Piero; Adani, Mario; Baldi, Marina; Barriopedro, David; Coccimiglio, Paolo; Dalu, Giovanni; Efthymiadis, Dimitrios; Gaetani, Marco; Galati, Maria Barbara; Gimeno, Luis; Goodess, Clare M.; Jones, Phil D.; Kuglitsch, Franz G.; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Luterbacher, Jürg; Marcos-Moreno, Marta; Mariotti, Annarita; Nieto, Raquel; Nissen, Katrin M.; Pettenuzzo, Daniele; Pinardi, Nadia: Past and current climate changes in the Mediterranean region, Regional Assessment of Climate Change in the Mediterranean / Antonio Navarra, Laurence Tubiana. - Dordrecht: Springer Science + Business, 2013. - S. 9-52, ISBN: 978-94-007-5780-6., DOI: 10.1007/978-94-007-5781-3
Nissen, Katrin M.; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Pinto, Joaquim G.; Ulbrich, Uwe: Mediterranean cyclones and windstorms in a changing climate, Regional Environmental Change (2013), DOI: 10.1007/s10113-012-0400-8
Neu, Urs; Akperov, M.G.; Bellenbaum, N.; Benestad, R.; Blender, R.; Caballero, R.; Cocozza, A.; Dacre, H.F.; Feng, Y.; Fraedrich, K.; Grieger, Jens; Gulev, S.; Hanley, J.; Hewson, T.; Inatsu, M.; Keay, K.; Kew, S.F.; Kindem, I.; Leckebusch, Gregor; Lionello, Piero; Pinto, J.G.; Reale, Marco; Schuster, Mareike; Ulbrich, Sven; Ulbrich, Uwe: IMILAST: A Community Effort to Intercompare Extratropical Cyclone Detection and Tracking Algorithms, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. - 94 (2013), 4, 529-547, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00154.1.
Ulbrich, Uwe; Leckebusch, Gregor; Grieger, Jens; Schuster, Mareike; Akperov, Mirseid; Bardin, Mikhail Y.; Feng, Yang; Gulev, Sergey; Inatsu, Masaru; Keay, Kevin; Kew, Sarah F.; Liberato, Margarida L. R.; Lionello, Piero; Mokhov, Igor I.; Neu, Urs; Pinto, Joaquim G.; Raible, Christoph C.; Reale, Marco; Rudeva, Irina; Simmonds, Ian; Tilinina, Natalia D.; Trigo, Isabel F.; Ulbrich, Sven; Wang, Xiaolan L.; Wernli, Heini: Are greenhouse gas signals of northern hemisphere winter extra-tropical cyclone activity dependent on the identification and tracking algorithm?, Meteorol. Z. - 22 (2013), 1, 61-68, DOI: 10.1127/0941-2948/2013/0420.
Nissen, Katrin M.; Ulbrich, Uwe; Leckebusch, Gregor: Vb cyclones and associated rainfall extremes over Central Europe under present day and climate change conditions, Meteorol. Z. - 22 (2013), 6, S. 649-660, DOI: 10.1127/0941-2948/2013/0514.
Hermann, Held; Gerstengarbe, Friedrich-Wilhelm; Pardowitz, Tobias; Pinto, Joaquim G.; Ulbrich, Uwe; Born, Kai; Donat, Markus G.; Karremann, Melanie K.; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Ludwig, Patrick; Nissen, Katrin M.; Österle, Hermann; Prahl, Boris F.; Werner, Peter C.; Befort, Daniel J.; Burghoff, Olaf: Projections of global warming-induced impacts on winter storm losses in the German private household sector, Climatic Change. - 121 (2013), 2, 195-207, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0872-7.
Pinto, Joaquim G.; Ulbrich, Sven; Parodi, Antonio; Rudari, Roberto; Boni, Giorgio; Ulbrich, Uwe: Identification and ranking of extraordinary rainfall events over Northwest Italy : the role of Atlantic moisture, Journal of Geophysical Research / Atmospheres. - 118 (2013), 5, S. 2085-2097, DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50179.
Hov, o.; Cubasch, Ulrich; Fischer, E.; Höppe, P.; Iversen, T.; Kvamsto, N. G.; Kundzewicz, Z. W.; Rezacova, D.; Rios, D.; Santos, F. D.; Schädler, B.; Veisz, Otto; Zerefos, C.; Benestadt, R.; Murlis, J.; Donat, M.; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Ulbrich, Uwe: Extreme Weather Events in Europe : preparing for climate change adaption, Oslo: Norwegian Meteorological Institute, 2013. - 136 S., ISBN: 978-82-7144-100-5

2012

Lehmann, E., and P. Névir: Uncertainties in relative atmospheric angular momentum computed from zonal winds in reanalysis data, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D09101, doi:10.1029/2011JD016658.
P. Lionello, L. Cavaleri, K.M. Nissen, C. Pino, F. Raicich, U. Ulbrich, 2012: Severe marine storms in the Northern Adriatic: Characteristics and trends, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 40-41,93-105.
U. Ulbrich, P. Lionello, D. Belusic, J. Jacobeit, P. Knippertz, F.G. Kuglitsch, G.C. Leckebusch, J. Luterbacher, M. Mauden, P. Maheras, K.M. Nissen, V. Pavan, J.G. Pinto, H. Saaroni, S. Seubert, A. Toreti, E. Xoplaki, B. Ziv, 2012: Climate of the Mediterranean: Synoptic Patterns, Temperature, Winds, and Their Extremes, Capter 5 in: The Climate of the Mediterranean Region, Elsevier

2011

2010

K.M. Nissen, G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, D. Renggli, S. Ulbrich, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Cyclones causing wind storms in the Mediterranean: characteristics, trends and links to large-scale patterns, Natural hazards and earth system sciences, 10, 1379-1391.
Donat, M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, S. Wild, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Benefits and limitations of regional multi-model ensembles for storm loss estimations. Clate Research (submitted)
Donat, M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, S. Wild, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Future changes of European winter storm losses and extreme wind speeds in multi-model GCM and RCM simulations. NHESS (to be submitted)
Pinto, J.G., C.P. Neuhaus, G.C. Leckebusch, M. Reyers, M. Kerschgens, 2010: Estimation of wind storm impacts over Western Germany under future climate conditions using a statistical-dynamical downscaling approach. Tellus. DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2009.00424.x
Donat, M., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Examination of wind storms over Central Europe with respect to circulation weather types and NAO phases, International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1982
Donat, M., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2010: European storminess and associated circulation weather types, Climate Research, DOI: 10.3354/cr00853
Nissen, K., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, D. Renggli, S. Ulbrich, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Cyclones causing wind storms in the Mediterranean: characteristics, trends and links to large-scale patterns, Natural hazards and earth system sciences, Vol. 10, No. 7. pp. 1379–1391
Loukas, A., M.-C.Llassat, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Preface: "Extreme events induced by weather and climate change : evaluation, forecasting and proactive planning", Natural hazards and earth system sciences, Vol. 10, DOI: 10.5194/nhess-10-1895-2010
Pinto, J., C.P. Neuhaus, G.C. Leckebusch, M. Reyers, M. Kerschgens, 2010: Estimation of wind storm impacts over Western Germany under future climate conditions using a statistical-dynamical downscaling approach. Tellus, Vol. 62, No. 2, pp. 188-201, DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2009.00424.x
Lorenz, P., D. Jacob, 2010: Validation of temperature trends in the ENSEMBLES regional climate model runs driven by ERA40, Climate Research, Vol. 44, No. 2/3, pp. 167-177, DOI: 10.3354/cr00973

2009

Donat, M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, J.G. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2009: Examination of Wind Storms over Central Europe with respect to Circulation Weather Types and NAO phases. International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1982
Donat M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, J.G. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2009: European storminess and associated atmospheric circulation: future changes in a multi-model ensemble of GCMs. Climate Research (submitted)
Lehmann E., Hansen F., Ulbrich U., Névir P., Leckebusch G.C., 2009: Assessing the effect of the relative atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) on length-of-day (LOD) variations under climate warming, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 11, EGU2009-10520-1.2009.
Lehmann E., Götzsch A., Ulbrich U., Leckbusch G.C., Névir P., Thomas M., 2009: Long-term ERP time series as indicators for global climate variability and climate change, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 11, EGU2009-9084-1.
Pinto, J.G., C.P. Neuhaus, G.C. Leckebusch, M. Reyers, M. Kerschgens, P. Speth, 2009: Estimating changes of storminess using a statistical-dynamical downscaling approach: application to West Germany. Tellus. Submitted on 9.4.2009.
Pinto, J.G., S. Zacharias, A.H. Fink, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, 2009: Factors contributing to the development of extreme North Atlantic cyclones and their relationship with the NAO. Clim. Dyn., Vol. 32, 711-737. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-008-0396-4.
Ulbrich, U., G.C. Leckebusch, and J.G. Pinto, 2009: Extra-tropical cyclones in the present and future climate: a review. Theo. Appl. Climatology, Vol. 96, No. 1-2, 117-131. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-008-0083-8.

2008

Leckebusch, G.C., M. Donat, U. Ulbrich, and J.G. Pinto, 2008: Mid-latitude Cyclones and Storms in an Ensemble of European AOGCMs under ACC. CLIVAR Exchanges, Volume 13, No. 3, July 2008.
Leckebusch, G.C., A. Kapala, H. Mächel, J.G. Pinto und M. Reyers, 2008: Indizes der Nordatlantischen und Arktischen Oszillation. Promet, 2008.
Leckebusch, G.C., D. Renggli, and U. Ulbrich, 2008: Development and Application of an Objective Storm Severity Measure for the Northeast Atlantic Region. Meteorol. Z., Vol. 17, No. 5, 575-587. DOI: 10.1127/0941-2948/2008/0323.
Leckebusch, G.C., A. Weimer, J.G. Pinto, M. Reyers, P. Speth, 2008: Extreme wind storms over Europe in present and future climate: a cluster analysis approach. Meteorol. Z., 17, No.1, 067-082 (February 2008), DOI: 10.1127/0941-2948/2008/0266.
Lehmann, E., G. C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, P. Névir, 2008: Effects of ENSO on sub-seasonal to interannual length-of-day (LOD) variability. Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 10, 1607/gra/EGU2008-A-10515.
Pinto, J.G., S. Zacharias, A.H. Fink, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich: Factors contributing to the development of extreme North Atlantic cyclones and their relationship with the NAO. Climate Dynamics, Springer Berlin / Heidelberg, ISSN 0930-7575 (Print) 1432-0894 (Online), DOI: 10.1007/s00382-008-0396-4
Ulbrich, U., G.C. Leckebusch, H. Paeth, J.G. Pinto, 2008: Veränderung der NAO und ihrer Wirkungen in Klimaszenarien. Promet, 2008.
Ulbrich, U., J.G. Pinto, H. Kupfer, G.C. Leckebusch, T. Spangehl, M. Reyers, 2008: Changing Northern Hemisphere Storm Tracks in an Ensemble of IPCC Climate Change Simulations. J. Climate, Vol. 21, No. 8, 1669-1679. DOI: 10.1175/2007JCLI1992.1.
Ulbrich, U., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, 2008: Extra-tropical cyclones in the present and future climate: a review. Theo. Appl. Climatology

2007

Hanson, C., J. P. Palutikof, M. T. J. Livermore, L. Barring, M. Bindi, J. Corte-Real, R. Durao, C. Giannakopoulos, P. Good, T. Holt, Z. Kundzewicz, G.C. Leckebusch, M. Moriondo, M. Radziejewski, J. Santos, P. Schlyter, M. Schwarb, I. Stjernquist, U. Ulbrich, 2007: Modelling the Impact of Climate Extremes: An overview of the MICE project. Climatic Change, Vol. 81, 163–177. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-006-9230-3.
Leckebusch, G.C., U. Ulbrich, L. Fröhlich, J.G. Pinto, 2007: Property loss potentials for European mid-latitude storms in a changing climate. Geophys. Res. Letters, 34, L05703, DOI:10.1029/2006GL027663
Pinto, J.G., E.L. Fröhlich, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, 2007: Changing European storm loss potentials under modified climate conditions according to ensemble simulations of the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GCM. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 7, 165–175, 2007.
Pinto, J.G., U. Ulbrich, G.C. Leckebusch, T. Spangehl, M. Reyers, S. Zacharias, 2007: Changes in storm track and cyclone activity in three SRES ensemble experiments with the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GCM. Climate Dynamics, 29, 195-210. DOI 10.1007/s00382-007-0230-4.

2006

Leckebusch, G.C., B. Koffi, U. Ulbrich, J. Pinto, T. Spangehl, S. Zacharias, 2006: Analysis of frequency and intensity of winter storm events in Europe on synoptic and regional scales from a multi-model perspective. Climate Research, 31, 59-74
Lionello, P., P. Malanotte-Rizzoli, R. Boscolo, P. Alpert, V. Artale, L. Li, J. Luterbacher, W. May, R. Trigo, M. Tsimplis, U. Ulbrich, and E. Xoplaki, 2006: The Mediterranean climate: An Overview of the Main Characteristics and Issues. In: P. Lionello, P. Malanotte-Rizzoli & R. Boscolo (Eds), Mediterranean Climate Variability, Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 398—415.
Pinto, J. G., T. Spangehl, U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2006. Assessment of winter cyclone activity in a transient ECHAM4-OPYC3 GHG experiment. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 15, 1-13.
Santos, J.A., J. Corte-Real, U. Ulbrich,and J. Palutikof, 2006. European winter precipitation extremes and large-scale circulation: A coupled model and its scenarios. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 87, 85-102.
Ulbrich, U., W. May, L. Li, P. Lionello, J. G. Pinto and S. Somot, 2006: The Mediterranean climate change under global warming. In: P. Lionello, P. Malanotte-Rizzoli & R. Boscolo (Eds), Mediterranean Climate Variability, Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 398—415.

2005

Kundzewicz, Z.W., U. Ulbrich, T. Brücher, D. Graczyk, A. Krüger, G.C. Leckebusch, L. Menzel, I. Pinskwar, M. Radziejewski and M. Szwed, 2005: Summer Floods in Central Europe – Climate Change Track? Natural Hazards, Volume 36, Number 1-2, 165–189. DOI:10.1007/s11069-004-4547-6.
Pinto, J. G., T. Spangehl, U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2005. Sensitivities of a cyclone detection and tracking algorithm: individual tracks and climatology. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 14, 823-838.

2004

Fink, A.H., T. Brücher, A. Krüger, G.C. Leckebusch, J.G. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2004: The 2003 European summer heat waves and drought - Synoptic diagnosis and impact. Weather, 59, 209-216.
Kundzewicz, Z.W., D. Graczyk, I. Pinskwar, M. Radziejewski,. M. Szwed, L. Bärring, C. Giannakopoulos, T. Holt, J. Palutikof, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, M. Schwarb, 2004: Changes in the occurrence of extremes, Part I, climatic background. Papers on global change IGBP, 11, 9-20.
Kundzewicz, Z.W., D. Graczyk, I. Pinskwar, M. Radziejewski,. M. Szwed, L. Bärring, C. Giannakopoulos, J. Palutikof, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, M. Schwarb, 2004: Changes in the occurrence of extremes, Part II, impacts on selected sectors. Papers on global change IGBP, 11, 21-32.
Leckebusch, G.C., U. Ulbrich, 2004: On the relationship between cyclones and extreme windstorm events over Europe under climate change. Global and Planetary Change, 44, 181-193.

2003

Eckhardt, K., U. Ulbrich, 2003: Potential impacts of climate change on groundwater recharge and streamflow in a central european low mountain range. J. Hydrology, 284, 244-252.
Klawa, M., U. Ulbrich, 2003: A model for the estimation of storm losses and the identification of severe winter storms in Germany. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 3, 725-732.
Knippertz, P., U. Ulbrich, F. Marques, J. Corte-Real, 2003: Decadal changes in the link El Niño, NAO and European/North African rainfall. Int. J. Climatology, 23, 1293 - 1311.
Ulbrich, U., T. Brücher, A.H. Fink, G.C. Leckebusch, A. Krüger, J. G. Pinto, 2003: The Central European Floods in August 2002 ,Part I: Rainfall periods and flood development. Weather, 58, 371-376.
Ulbrich, U., T. Brücher, A.H. Fink, G.C. Leckebusch, A. Krüger, J.G. Pinto, 2003: The Central European Floods in August 2002 , Part II: Synoptic causes and considerations with respect to climatic change. Weather, 58, 434-441.

2002

2001

Böllinger, G., A. Krüger, R. Röger, U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2001: Die Wirkung anthropogener Klimaänderungen auf die Grundwasserneubildung und die Reaktionsmöglichkeiten der vollziehenden Gewalt (Effect of the anthropogenic climate change on ground water recharge, and possibilities for a reaction of state institutions). Natur und Recht, 23, 121-128.
Krüger, A., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2001: Groundwater recharge in Northrhine-Westfalia predicted by a statistical model for greenhouse gas scenarios. Physics and Chemistry of the earth (B), 26, 853-861.
Ulbrich, U., A.H. Fink, M. Klawa and J.G. Pinto , 2001: Three extreme storms over Europe in December 1999. Weather, 56, 70-80.

2000

Christoph, M., U. Ulbrich, J.M. Oberhuber, E. Roeckner, 2000: The role of ocean dynamics for low-frequency fluctuations of the NAO in a coupled Ocean-Atmosphere GCM. J. Climate, 13, 2536 - 2549.
Hübener, H., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2000: The role of baroclinic instability for Changma rainfall. Korean Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 3,53-66.
Knippertz, P., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2000: Changing cyclones and surface wind speeds over the North-Atlantic and Europe in a transient GHG experiment. Climate Research, 15, 109-122.

1999

Ulbrich, U., M. Christoph , J.G. Pinto, J. Corte-Real, 1999: Dependence of Winter Precipitation over Portugal on NAO and Baroclinic Wave Activity. Int. J. Climatol., 19, 379-390.
Ulbrich, U., M. Christoph, 1999: A Shift of the NAO and Increasing Storm Track Activity over Europe due to Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Forcing. Climate Dynamics, 15, 551-559.

1998

Leckebusch, G., A. Fink, P. Speth, 1998: Herkunftsgebiete, Flüsse und Senken von Feuchte in südlichen Polarregionen: Ein Vergleich zwischen Paläoklimaten und dem rezenten Klima. Annalen der Meteorologie, 37, Selbstverlag des Deutschen Wetterdienstes, 431-432.
Leckebusch, G.C., P. Speth, 1998: Feuchtetransporte und Feuchteakkumulation in antarktischen und arktischen Eisgebieten. Ein Vergleich zwischen Paläoklimaten und dem rezenten Klima. Berichte zur Polarforschung, 277, 71-72.

1997

Christoph, M., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 1997: Midwinter suppression of Northern Hemisphere Storm Track Activity in the Real Atmosphere and in GCM Experiments. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 1589-1599.

1996

Fink, A., U. Ulbrich, H. Engel, 1996: Aspects of the January 1995 flood in Germany. Weather, 51 (Feb. 1996), 34-39.
Haak, U., U. Ulbrich, 1996: Verification of an objective cyclone climatology for the North Atlantic. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, N.F. , 5, 24 - 30.
Lunkeit, F., M. Ponater, R. Sausen, M. Sogalla, U. Ulbrich, M. Windelband, 1996: Cyclonic activity in a warmer climate. Beitr. Phys. Atmosphäre, 69, 393 – 407
Ulbrich, U., A. Fink, 1996: The January 1995 flood in Germany: Meteorological versus Hydrological causes. Phys. Chem. Earth, 20, 439-444.

1995

Christoph, M., U. Ulbrich, U. Haak, 1995: Faster determination of the intraseasonal variability of stormtracks using Murakami's recursive filter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 578 - 581.
Ulbrich, U., H.-F. Graf, I. Kirchner, 1995: The impact of El Niño and volcanic forcing on the atmospheric energy cycle and the zonal mean atmospheric circulation. Beitr. Phys. Atmosph., 68, 59 - 74., auch erschienen in: Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie Hamburg, Report Nr. 133, 24 pp
Ulbrich, U., 1995: Comments on „Large-scale aspects of the United States hydrologic cycle. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 76, No. 9, 391-392.

1994

von Storch, H., D. Schriever, K. Arpe, G.W. Branstator, R. Legnani, U. Ulbrich, 1994: Numerical experiments on the atmospheric response to cold equatorial Pacific conditions („La Niña“) during northern summer. The Global Atmosphere and Ocean System, 2, 99 - 120.

1993

Ulbrich, U. , G. Bürger, D. Schriever, H. von Storch, S.L. Weber, and G. Schmitz, 1993: The effect of a regional increase in ocean surface roughness on the tropospheric circulation, a GCM experiment. Climate Dynamics., 8, 277 - 285.

1992

Ulbrich, U., M. Ponater, 1992: Energy cycle diagnosis of two versions of a low resolution GCM. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 50, 197 - 210.

1991

Ulbrich, U. and P. Speth, 1991: The global energy cycle of stationary and transient atmospheric waves. Results from ECMWF analyses. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 45, 125 – 138.

1990

Ulbrich, U., L. Ahorner und A. Ebel, 1987: Statistical investigations on diurnal and annual periodicity and on tidal triggering of local earthquakes in Central Europe. J. Geophys, 61, 150-157.

Wissenschaftliche Veröffentlichungen

Dobler, Andreas; Feldmann, Hendrik; Ulbrich, Uwe: Grenzen und Herausforderungen der regionalen Klimamodellierung. Klimawandel in Deutschland. Springer Spektrum. Pages: 37 - 44. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-662-50397-3

Mazza, Edoardo; Ulbrich, Uwe; Klein, Rupert (2017) : The Tropical Transition of the October 1996 Medicane in the Western Mediterranean Sea: A Warm Seclusion Event. Monthly Weather Review, S. 2575 - 2595. DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0474.1

Höschel, Ines; Grieger, Jens; Ulbrich, Uwe; Decadal predictability of winter windstorm frequency in Eastern Europe in: Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 19 (2017), EGU2017-6853

Walz, Michael A.; Kruschke, Tim; Leckebusch, Gregor; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Quantifying the extremity of windstorms for regions featuring infrequent events in: RMetS (2017) DOI: 10.1002/asl.758. - URL: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl.758/references

Grieger, Jens; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Bias adjustment for climate predictions: an overview in: EGU. - 19 (2017), EGU2017-15237

May, Wilhelm; Ganske, Anette; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Rockel, Burkhardt; Tinz, Birger; Ulbrich, Uwe: Projected Change - Atmosphere. North Sea Region Climate Change Assessment. Springer International Publishing. Pages: 149 - 173. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-39745-0_5

Otero Felipe, Noelia; Sillman, Jana; Schnell, J. L.; Rust, Henning; Butler, Tim M. : Synoptic and meteorological drivers of extreme ozone concentrations over Europe . Environmental Research Letters. - 11 (2016), 2, 024005 - ISSN: 1748-9326. - DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/2/024005

Befort, Daniel J.; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Cubasch, Ulrich : Intraseasonal variability of the Indian summer monsoon : wet and dry events in COSMO-CLM . Climate Dynamics. - 47 (2016), 7-8, S. 2635-2651. ISSN: 0930-7575. - DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-2989-7

Befort, Daniel J.; Wild, Simon; Kruschke, Tim; Ulbrich, Uwe; Leckebusch, Gregor C.: Different long-term trends of extra-tropical cyclones and windstorms in ERA-20C and NOAA-20CR reanalyses. ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS Volume: 17 Issue: 11 Pages: 586-595, DOI: 10.1002/asl.694

Pardowitz, Tobias; Befort, Daniel J.; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Ulbrich, Uwe: Estimating uncertainties from high resolution simulations of extreme wind storms and consequences for impacts. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. - 25 (2016), 5, S. 531-541, ISSN: 0941-2948. - DOI: 10.1127/metz/2016/0582.

Pardowitz, Tobias; Osinski, Robert; Kruschke, Tim; Ulbrich, Uwe: An analysis of uncertainties and skill in forecasts of winter storm losses. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. - 16 (2016), 11, S. 2391-2402, ISSN: 1684-9981. - DOI: 10.5194/nhess-16-2391-2016.

Schielicke, Lisa; Nevir, Peter; Ulbrich, Uwe: Kinematic vorticity number : Kinematic vorticity number: a tool for estimating vortex sizes and circulations. Tellus A. - 68 (2016), Artikel Nr. 29464 ( ), ISSN: 0280-6495. - DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v68.29464.

Rousi, Eftychia; Ulbrich, Uwe; Rust, Henning; Anagnostopoulou, Christina: An NAO Climatology in Reanalysis Data with the Use of Self-organizing Maps. Perspectives on Atmospheric Sciences (2016), 719-724, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-35095-0_103.

Kaspar, F.; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Becker, P.: Verification and process oriented validation of the MiKlip decadal prediction system. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. - 25 (2016), 6, 629-630, ISSN: 0941-2948. - DOI: 10.1127/metz/2016/0831.

Grieger, Jens; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Ulbrich, Uwe: Net Precipitation of Antarctica: Thermodynamical and Dynamical Parts of the Climate Change Signal. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, Volume: 29 Issue: 3 Pages: 907-924

Ulbrich, U.: Warum sieht man manchmal zwei Regenbögen nebeneinander? National geographic / Deutschland. - 2016 (2016), 8, Seite 24, ISSN: 1615-0872. - URL: http://www.nationalgeographic.de/die-welt-von-ng/eine-frage-herr-professor/warum-sieht-man-manchmal-zwei-regenboegen-nebeneinander

Becker, N., Ulbrich, U.: Reliability of windstorm predictions in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system, Geophysical research abstracts. - 18 (2016), Seite EGU2016-15684, ISSN: 1607-7962. - URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2016/EGU2016-15684.pdf

Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Kruschke, Tim; Dobler, Andreas; Fischer, Madlen: Discontinuous Daily Temperatures in the WATCH Forcing Datasets, J. Hydrometeorol. (2015), 1, 465-472, DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-14-0123.1.

Kox, Thomas; Gerhold, Lars; Ulbrich, Uwe: Perception and use of uncertainty in severe weather warnings by emergency services in Germany, Atmos. Res. - 158/159 (2015), S. 292-301, DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2014.02.024.

Wapler, Kathrin; Harnisch, Florian; Pardowitz, Tobias; Senf, Fabian: Characterisation and predictability of a strong and a weak forcing severe convective event : a multi-data approach . Meteorologische Zeitschrift. - 24 (2015), 4, S. 393-410. ISSN: 0941-2948. - DOI: 10.1127/metz/2015/0625.

Lorenz, P.; Kruschke, Tim; Voigt, Maximilian; Ulbrich, Uwe; Leckebusch, Gregor; Faust, E.; Hofherr, T.; Majewski, D.: An approach to build an event set of European wind storms based on ECMWF EPS, Nat. Hazard. Earth. Sys. Discussions. - 3 (2015), 2, 1231-1268, DOI: 10.5194/nhessd-3-1231-2015.

Rust, Henning; Richling, Andy; Bissolli, Peter; Ulbrich, Uwe: Linking teleconnection patterns to European temperature – a multiple linear regression model, Meteorol. Z. - 24 (2015), 4, S. 411-423, DOI: 10.1127/metz/2015/0642.

Dayan, U.; Nissen, Katrin; Ulbrich, Uwe : Atmospheric conditions inducing extreme precipitation over the eastern and western Mediterranean . Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. - 15 (2015), 11, S. 2525-2544. ISSN: 1684-9981. - DOI: 10.5194/nhess-15-2525-2015.

Becker, N., Ulbrich, U., Klein, Rupert: Systematic large-scale secondary circulations in a regional climate model, Geophysical Research Letters. - 42 (2015), 10, 4142-4149, DOI: 10.1002/2015GL063955.

Befort, D.J.; Fischer, M., Leckebusch, G.C., Ulbrich, U., Ganske, A., Rosenhagen, G., Heinrich, H.: Identification of storm surge events over the German Bight from atmospheric reanalysis and climate model data, Nat. Hazard. Earth. Sys. (NHESS) (2015), 1437-1447, DOI: 10.5194/nhess-15-1437-2015

Pardowitz, T., Heisterkamp, T., Göber, M., Ulbrich, U.: Prediction of weather related fire brigade operations on the basis of nowcasting data, EMS annual meeting. - 12 (2015), Abstract Nr. EMS2015-592, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EMS2015/EMS2015-592.pdf

Pardowitz, T., Osinski, R., Ulbrich, U.: Predictability of winter storm damages, EMS annual meeting abstracts. - 12 (2015), Abstract Nr. EMS2015-593, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EMS2015/EMS2015-593.pdf

May, W., Ganske, A., Leckebusch, G. C., Rockel, B., Tinz, B., Ulbrich, U.: Climate changes in the North Sea region : a review of recent assessments, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-1370-1

Kruschke, T., Rust, H. W., Kadow, C., Ulbrich, U., Leckebusch, G. C.: Skill of probabilistic decadal forecasts regarding the frequencies of Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical cyclones, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-12298

Kröner, I., Rust, H. W., Kruschke, T., Ulbrich, U.: Reliability of predicting the number of frost days in the MiKlip decadal prediction system, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-12962, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2015/EGU2015-12962.pdf

Mazza, E., Ulbrich, U., Klein, R.: From baroclinic to barotropic: the evolution of Medicane Cornelia, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-11605

Grieger, J., Leckebusch, G. C., Ulbrich, U.: Mechanisms of Antarctic net precipitation climate change signals, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-10429, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2015/EGU2015-10429.pdf

Kruschke, Tim; Rust, Henning W.; Kadow, Christopher; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Ulbrich, Uwe: Evaluating decadal predictions of northern hemispheric cyclone frequencies, Tellus A. - 66 (2014), Artikel Nr. 22830 (15 S.), DOI: 10.3402/tellusa.v66.22830.

Grieger, Jens; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Donat, Markus G.; Schuster, Mareike; Ulbrich, Uwe: Southern Hemisphere winter cyclone activity under recent and future climate conditions in multi-model AOGCM simulations, Int. J. Climatol. - 34 (2014), 12, 3400-3416, DOI: 10.1002/joc.3917.

Nied, Manuela; Pardowitz, Tobias; Nissen, Katrin; Ulbrich, Uwe; Hundecha, Yeshewatesfa; Merz, Bruno: On the relationship between hydro-meteorological patterns and flood types, J. Hydrometeorol. - 519 (2014), 3249-3262, DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.09.089.

Lionello, Piero; Abrantes, Fatima; Gacic, Miroslav; Planton, Serge; Trigo, Ricardo; Ulbrich, Uwe: The climate of the Mediterranean region : research progress and climate change impacts, Regional Environmental Change. - 14 (2014), 5, 1679-1684, DOI: 10.1007/s10113-014-0666-0.

Garcia-Herrera, R. F.; Lionello, Piero; Ulbrich, Uwe: Preface: Understanding dynamics and current developments of climate extremes in the Mediterranean region, Nat. Hazard. Earth. Sys. - 14 (2014), 2, 309-316, DOI: 10.5194/nhess-14-309-2014.

Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe (Hrsg.): Meteorol. Z. Special Issue : Verification and Process Oriented Validation of the MiKlip Decadal Prediction System, Deutschland: Borntraeger, 2014

V. Guemas, L. Auger, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, H.W. Rust, A. Ribes: Dealing with data dependencies when applying statistical hypothesis tests for climate time series (accepted by Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. 2014)

Kröner, I., Kruschke, T., Rust, H. W., Ulbrich, U.: Decadal predictability of frost days in the MPI-ESM-LR model, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-11963-1, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-11963.pdf

Schuster, M., Donat, M., Grieger, J., Leckebusch, G. C., Ulbrich, U.: Climate change of Southern Hemisphere cyclone activity and its possible mechanisms, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-4041-1, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-4041-1.pdf

Schartner, T., Ulbrich, U., Nevir, P.: Development of key atmospheric parameters during thunderstorm development in Central Europe, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-11681, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-11681.pdf

Heisterkamp, T., Ulbrich, U., Glade, T., Tetzlaff, G.: Influence of warning information changes on emergency response, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-13167, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-13167.pdf

Nissen, Katrin M.; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Pinto, Joaquim G.; Ulbrich, Uwe: Mediterranean cyclones and windstorms in a changing climate, Regional Environmental Change (2013), DOI: 10.1007/s10113-012-0400-8

Nissen, Katrin M.; Ulbrich, Uwe; Leckebusch, Gregor: Vb cyclones and associated rainfall extremes over Central Europe under present day and climate change conditions, Meteorol. Z. - 22 (2013), 6, S. 649-660, DOI: 10.1127/0941-2948/2013/0514.

Lehmann, E., and P. Névir: Uncertainties in relative atmospheric angular momentum computed from zonal winds in reanalysis data, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D09101, doi:10.1029/2011JD016658.

P. Lionello, L. Cavaleri, K.M. Nissen, C. Pino, F. Raicich, U. Ulbrich, 2012: Severe marine storms in the Northern Adriatic: Characteristics and trends, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 40-41,93-105.

K.M. Nissen, G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, D. Renggli, S. Ulbrich, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Cyclones causing wind storms in the Mediterranean: characteristics, trends and links to large-scale patterns, Natural hazards and earth system sciences, 10, 1379-1391.

Donat, M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, S. Wild, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Benefits and limitations of regional multi-model ensembles for storm loss estimations. Clate Research (submitted)

Donat, M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, S. Wild, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Future changes of European winter storm losses and extreme wind speeds in multi-model GCM and RCM simulations. NHESS (to be submitted)

Pinto, J.G., C.P. Neuhaus, G.C. Leckebusch, M. Reyers, M. Kerschgens, 2010: Estimation of wind storm impacts over Western Germany under future climate conditions using a statistical-dynamical downscaling approach. Tellus. DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2009.00424.x

Donat, M., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Examination of wind storms over Central Europe with respect to circulation weather types and NAO phases, International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1982

Donat, M., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2010: European storminess and associated circulation weather types, Climate Research, DOI: 10.3354/cr00853

Nissen, K., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, D. Renggli, S. Ulbrich, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Cyclones causing wind storms in the Mediterranean: characteristics, trends and links to large-scale patterns, Natural hazards and earth system sciences, Vol. 10, No. 7. pp. 1379–1391

Loukas, A., M.-C.Llassat, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Preface: "Extreme events induced by weather and climate change : evaluation, forecasting and proactive planning", Natural hazards and earth system sciences, Vol. 10, DOI: 10.5194/nhess-10-1895-2010

Pinto, J., C.P. Neuhaus, G.C. Leckebusch, M. Reyers, M. Kerschgens, 2010: Estimation of wind storm impacts over Western Germany under future climate conditions using a statistical-dynamical downscaling approach. Tellus, Vol. 62, No. 2, pp. 188-201, DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2009.00424.x

Lorenz, P., D. Jacob, 2010: Validation of temperature trends in the ENSEMBLES regional climate model runs driven by ERA40, Climate Research, Vol. 44, No. 2/3, pp. 167-177, DOI: 10.3354/cr00973

Donat, M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, J.G. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2009: Examination of Wind Storms over Central Europe with respect to Circulation Weather Types and NAO phases. International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1982

Donat M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, J.G. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2009: European storminess and associated atmospheric circulation: future changes in a multi-model ensemble of GCMs. Climate Research (submitted)

Lehmann E., Hansen F., Ulbrich U., Névir P., Leckebusch G.C., 2009: Assessing the effect of the relative atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) on length-of-day (LOD) variations under climate warming, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 11, EGU2009-10520-1.2009.

Lehmann E., Götzsch A., Ulbrich U., Leckbusch G.C., Névir P., Thomas M., 2009: Long-term ERP time series as indicators for global climate variability and climate change, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 11, EGU2009-9084-1.

Pinto, J.G., C.P. Neuhaus, G.C. Leckebusch, M. Reyers, M. Kerschgens, P. Speth, 2009: Estimating changes of storminess using a statistical-dynamical downscaling approach: application to West Germany. Tellus. Submitted on 9.4.2009.

Pinto, J.G., S. Zacharias, A.H. Fink, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, 2009: Factors contributing to the development of extreme North Atlantic cyclones and their relationship with the NAO. Clim. Dyn., Vol. 32, 711-737. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-008-0396-4.

Ulbrich, U., G.C. Leckebusch, and J.G. Pinto, 2009: Extra-tropical cyclones in the present and future climate: a review. Theo. Appl. Climatology, Vol. 96, No. 1-2, 117-131. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-008-0083-8.

Leckebusch, G.C., M. Donat, U. Ulbrich, and J.G. Pinto, 2008: Mid-latitude Cyclones and Storms in an Ensemble of European AOGCMs under ACC. CLIVAR Exchanges, Volume 13, No. 3, July 2008.

Leckebusch, G.C., A. Kapala, H. Mächel, J.G. Pinto und M. Reyers, 2008: Indizes der Nordatlantischen und Arktischen Oszillation. Promet, 2008.

Leckebusch, G.C., D. Renggli, and U. Ulbrich, 2008: Development and Application of an Objective Storm Severity Measure for the Northeast Atlantic Region. Meteorol. Z., Vol. 17, No. 5, 575-587. DOI: 10.1127/0941-2948/2008/0323.

Leckebusch, G.C., A. Weimer, J.G. Pinto, M. Reyers, P. Speth, 2008: Extreme wind storms over Europe in present and future climate: a cluster analysis approach. Meteorol. Z., 17, No.1, 067-082 (February 2008), DOI: 10.1127/0941-2948/2008/0266.

Lehmann, E., G. C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, P. Névir, 2008: Effects of ENSO on sub-seasonal to interannual length-of-day (LOD) variability. Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 10, 1607/gra/EGU2008-A-10515.

Ulbrich, U., G.C. Leckebusch, H. Paeth, J.G. Pinto, 2008: Veränderung der NAO und ihrer Wirkungen in Klimaszenarien. Promet, 2008.

Ulbrich, U., J.G. Pinto, H. Kupfer, G.C. Leckebusch, T. Spangehl, M. Reyers, 2008: Changing Northern Hemisphere Storm Tracks in an Ensemble of IPCC Climate Change Simulations. J. Climate, Vol. 21, No. 8, 1669-1679. DOI: 10.1175/2007JCLI1992.1.

Ulbrich, U., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, 2008: Extra-tropical cyclones in the present and future climate: a review. Theo. Appl. Climatology

Leckebusch, G.C., U. Ulbrich, L. Fröhlich, J.G. Pinto, 2007: Property loss potentials for European mid-latitude storms in a changing climate. Geophys. Res. Letters, 34, L05703, DOI:10.1029/2006GL027663

Pinto, J.G., E.L. Fröhlich, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, 2007: Changing European storm loss potentials under modified climate conditions according to ensemble simulations of the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GCM. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 7, 165–175, 2007.

Pinto, J.G., U. Ulbrich, G.C. Leckebusch, T. Spangehl, M. Reyers, S. Zacharias, 2007: Changes in storm track and cyclone activity in three SRES ensemble experiments with the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GCM. Climate Dynamics, 29, 195-210. DOI 10.1007/s00382-007-0230-4.

Leckebusch, G.C., B. Koffi, U. Ulbrich, J. Pinto, T. Spangehl, S. Zacharias, 2006: Analysis of frequency and intensity of winter storm events in Europe on synoptic and regional scales from a multi-model perspective. Climate Research, 31, 59-74

Pinto, J. G., T. Spangehl, U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2006. Assessment of winter cyclone activity in a transient ECHAM4-OPYC3 GHG experiment. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 15, 1-13.

Santos, J.A., J. Corte-Real, U. Ulbrich,and J. Palutikof, 2006. European winter precipitation extremes and large-scale circulation: A coupled model and its scenarios. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 87, 85-102.

Ulbrich, U., W. May, L. Li, P. Lionello, J. G. Pinto and S. Somot, 2006: The Mediterranean climate change under global warming. In: P. Lionello, P. Malanotte-Rizzoli & R. Boscolo (Eds), Mediterranean Climate Variability, Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 398—415.

Kaspar, F.; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Becker, P.: Verification and process oriented validation of the MiKlip decadal prediction system. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. - 25 (2016), 6, 629-630,
ISSN: 0941-2948. - DOI: 10.1127/metz/2016/0831.