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Wissenschaftliche Veröffentlichungen

Meredith E.P, Ulbrich U., Rust H.W., and H Truhetz (2021). Present and future diurnal hourly precipitation in 0.11° EURO-CORDEX models and at convection-permitting resolution, Environmental Research Communications, 3, 055002, https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/abf15e

Schmitz,S., Towers,Sh., Villena, G., Caseiro, A., Wegener, R., Klemp, D,Langer, I.,Meier, F.and Erika von Schneidemesser (2021).Unraveling a black box: An open-source methodology for the field calibration of small air quality sensors, Atmos. Meas. Tech. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-2020-489.

  • Meredith, E. P., Ulbrich, U., & Rust, H. W. (2020). Subhourly rainfall in a convection-permitting model. Environmental Research Letters, 15(3), 034031, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab6787
  • Buchartikel: Ulbrich, U. & Meredith, E.P. (2020), Non-Synoptic Winds Data Basis. In The Oxford Handbook of Non-Synoptic Wind Storms, Oxford University Press, ISBN 9780190670252, http://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190670252.013.20
  • K.M. Nissen, N. Becker, O. Dähne, M. Rabe, J. Scheffler, M. Solle, U. Ulbrich, 2020: How does weather affect the use of public transport in Berlin? Environ. Res. Lett. 15, 085001, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab8ec3
  • Matsaba, E.O.,Langer, I., Aggrey Ochieng Adimo, A.O. Mukundi,J.B, Mwibanda Wesonga, J (2020): Spatio-Temporal Variability of Simulated 2 m Air Temperature for Nairobi City, Kenya. CUS, Vol.8 No.2, June 2020, DOI: 10.4236/cus.2020.82011 
  • Langer, I., Fakharizadehshirazi, E., Werner, J., 2020: Spatial variation of physiologically equivalent temperature in different Local Climate Zones of a large city during a hot spell, Met.Zeitschrift 2020/0996,DOI: 10.1127/metz/2020/0996
  • Becker, N., Rust, H. W., and Ulbrich, U., 2020 : Predictive modeling of hourly probabilities for weather-related road accidents, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20, 2857–2871, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2857-2020.

  • Becker, N., 2019: Analyse und Modellierung von Wetterauswirkungen. In: Kox, T., Gerhold, L., eds.: Wetterwarnungen: Von der Extremereignisinformation zu Kommunikation und Handlung. Beiträge aus dem Forschungsprojekt WEXICOM. Schriftenreihe Sicherheit Nr. 25, Berlin: Forschungsforum Öffentliche Sicherheit, Freie Universität Berlin, 109-134, ISBN: 978-3-96110-229-7.
  • M. Fischer,  H.W. Rust, U. Ulbrich: A spatial and seasonal climatology of extreme precipitation return-levels – A case study, Spatial Statistics, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spasta.2017.11.007.
  • Schuster, M., Grieger, J., Richling, A., Schartner, T., Illing, S., Kadow, C., Müller, W. A., Pohlmann, H., Pfahl, S., and Ulbrich, U.: Improvement in the decadal prediction skill of the North Atlantic extratropical winter circulation through increased model resolution, Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 901–917, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-901-2019, 2019.
  • Meredith, E.P., Ulbrich, U. & Rust, H.W. (2019): The diurnal nature of future extreme precipitation intensification. Geophysical Research Letters, 46(13), pp.7680-7689, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082385
  • Noyelle, R., Ulbrich, U., Becker, N., & Meredith, E. P. (2019): Assessing the impact of sea surface temperatures on a simulated medicane using ensemble simulations, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 941–955, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-941-2019
  • Fenner, D., A. Holtmann, F. Meier, I. Langer, D. Scherer (2019): Contrasting changes of urban heat island intensity during hot weather episodes. Environ. Res. Lett., in press. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab506b. Link zum Paper (Open Access)
  • Zhang, H., Chi, X.,Müller, F.,Langer, I. und S. Sodoudi (2019); Wie wirkt sich der Tiergarten Berlin auf das Wohlbefinden der Menschen aus? Eine Studie über den Kühlungseffekt von Grünflächen und den thermischen Komfort der Fußgänger, Historische Gärten und Klimawandel, Eine Aufgabe für Gartendenkmalpflege, Wissenschaft und Gesellschaft, Herausgegeben von: Reinhard F. Hüttl, Karen David und Bernd Uwe Schneider, De Gruyter Akademie Forschung | 2020 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/9783110607772,Seite 167.

  • Pasternack, Alexander; Rust, Henning; Bhend, J.; Liniger, M.; Müller, W. A.; Ulbrich, Uwe; Parametric decadal climate forecast recalibration (DeFoReSt 1.0) in: Geoscientific Model Development. - 11 (2018), 1, 351-368, ISSN: 1991-9603. - DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-351-2018. - URL: https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/11/351/2018/. - URN: http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-351-201
  • Fischer, Madlen; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Seasonal Cycle in German Daily Precipitation Extremes in: Meteorologische Zeitschrift. - 27 (2018), 1, 3-13, ISSN: 0941-2948. - DOI: 10.1127/metz/2017/0845. - URL: http://www.schweizerbart.de/papers/metz/detail/27/88248/Seasonal_Cycle_in_German_Daily_Precipitation_Extre?af=crossref. - URN: http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/metz/2017/0845
  • Ulbrich, U., K.M. Nissen. 2018: Charakteristika des »normalen« Erdwetters und des Extremwetters. In: Lozán, J. L.S.-W. Breckle, H. Graßl, D. Kasang & R. Weisse (Hrsg.). Warnsignal Klima: Extremereignisse. pp. 21-26. Online: www.klima-warnsig­nale.uni-hamburg.de. doi:10.2312/warnsignal.klima.extremereignisse.03

  • Dobler, Andreas; Feldmann, Hendrik; Ulbrich, Uwe: Grenzen und Herausforderungen der regionalen Klimamodellierung. Klimawandel in Deutschland. Springer Spektrum. Pages: 37 - 44. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-662-50397-3
  • Mazza, Edoardo; Ulbrich, Uwe; Klein, Rupert (2017) : The Tropical Transition of the October 1996 Medicane in the Western Mediterranean Sea: A Warm Seclusion Event. Monthly Weather Review, S. 2575 - 2595. DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0474.1
  • Höschel, Ines; Grieger, Jens; Ulbrich, Uwe; Decadal predictability of winter windstorm frequency in Eastern Europe in: Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 19 (2017), EGU2017-6853 
  • Walz, Michael A.; Kruschke, Tim; Leckebusch, Gregor; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Quantifying the extremity of windstorms for regions featuring infrequent events in: RMetS (2017) DOI: 10.1002/asl.758. - URL: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl.758/references
  • Walz, Michael A.; Kruschke, Tim; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Leckebusch, Gregor; Quantifying the extremity of windstorms for regions featuring infrequent events in: Atmospheric Science Letters. - 18 (2017), 7, 315-322 ISSN: 1530261X. - DOI: 10.1002/asl.758. - URL: http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/asl.758. - URN: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asl.758
  • Ritschel, Christoph; Nevir, Peter; Ulbrich, Uwe; Rust, Henning; Precipitation extremes on multiple timescales – Bartlett–Lewis rectangular pulse model and intensity–duration–frequency curves in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. - 21 (2017), 12, 6501-6517, ISSN: 1607-7938. - DOI: 10.5194/hess-21-6501-2017. - URL: https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/21/6501/2017/. - URN: http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6501-2017
  • Grieger, Jens; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Bias adjustment for climate predictions: an overview in: EGU. - 19 (2017), EGU2017-15237
  • Fischer, Madlen; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; A spatial and seasonal climatology of extreme precipitation return-levels: A case study in: Spatial Statistics (2017), ISSN: 22116753. - DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2017.11.007. - URL: https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2211675317300283. - URN: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.spasta.2017.11.007
  • K.M. Nissen, U. Ulbrich, 2017: Increasing frequencies and changing characteristics of heavy precipitation events threatening infrastructure in Europe under climate change. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. ,17, 1177-1190.

  • Lehmann, E., and P. Névir: Uncertainties in relative atmospheric angular momentum computed from zonal winds in reanalysis data, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D09101, doi:10.1029/2011JD016658.
  • P. Lionello, L. Cavaleri, K.M. Nissen, C. Pino, F. Raicich, U. Ulbrich, 2012: Severe marine storms in the Northern Adriatic: Characteristics and trends, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 40-41,93-105.
  • U. Ulbrich, P. Lionello, D. Belusic, J. Jacobeit, P. Knippertz, F.G. Kuglitsch, G.C. Leckebusch, J. Luterbacher, M. Mauden, P. Maheras, K.M. Nissen, V. Pavan, J.G. Pinto, H. Saaroni, S. Seubert, A. Toreti, E. Xoplaki, B. Ziv, 2012: Climate of the Mediterranean: Synoptic Patterns, Temperature, Winds, and Their Extremes, Capter 5 in: The Climate of the Mediterranean Region, Elsevier

  • K.M. Nissen, G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, D. Renggli, S. Ulbrich, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Cyclones causing wind storms in the Mediterranean: characteristics, trends and links to large-scale patterns, Natural hazards and earth system sciences, 10, 1379-1391.
  • Donat, M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, S. Wild, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Benefits and limitations of regional multi-model ensembles for storm loss estimations. Clate Research (submitted)
  • Donat, M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, S. Wild, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Future changes of European winter storm losses and extreme wind speeds in multi-model GCM and RCM simulations. NHESS (to be submitted)
  • Pinto, J.G., C.P. Neuhaus, G.C. Leckebusch, M. Reyers, M. Kerschgens, 2010: Estimation of wind storm impacts over Western Germany under future climate conditions using a statistical-dynamical downscaling approach. Tellus. DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2009.00424.x
  • Donat, M., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Examination of wind storms over Central Europe with respect to circulation weather types and NAO phases, International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1982
  • Donat, M., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2010: European storminess and associated circulation weather types, Climate Research, DOI: 10.3354/cr00853
  • Nissen, K., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, D. Renggli, S. Ulbrich, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Cyclones causing wind storms in the Mediterranean: characteristics, trends and links to large-scale patterns, Natural hazards and earth system sciences, Vol. 10, No. 7. pp. 1379–1391
  • Loukas, A., M.-C.Llassat, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Preface: "Extreme events induced by weather and climate change : evaluation, forecasting and proactive planning", Natural hazards and earth system sciences, Vol. 10, DOI: 10.5194/nhess-10-1895-2010
  • Pinto, J., C.P. Neuhaus, G.C. Leckebusch, M. Reyers, M. Kerschgens, 2010: Estimation of wind storm impacts over Western Germany under future climate conditions using a statistical-dynamical downscaling approach. Tellus, Vol. 62, No. 2, pp. 188-201, DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2009.00424.x
  • Lorenz, P., D. Jacob, 2010: Validation of temperature trends in the ENSEMBLES regional climate model runs driven by ERA40, Climate Research, Vol. 44, No. 2/3, pp. 167-177, DOI: 10.3354/cr00973

  • Donat, M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, J.G. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2009: Examination of Wind Storms over Central Europe with respect to Circulation Weather Types and NAO phases. International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1982
  • Donat M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, J.G. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2009: European storminess and associated atmospheric circulation: future changes in a multi-model ensemble of GCMs. Climate Research (submitted)
  • Lehmann E., Hansen F., Ulbrich U., Névir P., Leckebusch G.C., 2009: Assessing the effect of the relative atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) on length-of-day (LOD) variations under climate warming, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 11, EGU2009-10520-1.2009.
  • Lehmann E., Götzsch A., Ulbrich U., Leckbusch G.C., Névir P., Thomas M., 2009: Long-term ERP time series as indicators for global climate variability and climate change,  Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 11, EGU2009-9084-1.
  • Pinto, J.G., C.P. Neuhaus, G.C. Leckebusch, M. Reyers, M. Kerschgens, P. Speth, 2009: Estimating changes of storminess using a statistical-dynamical downscaling approach: application to West Germany. Tellus. Submitted on 9.4.2009.
  • Pinto, J.G., S. Zacharias, A.H. Fink, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, 2009: Factors contributing to the development of extreme North Atlantic cyclones and their relationship with the NAO. Clim. Dyn., Vol. 32, 711-737. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-008-0396-4.
  • Ulbrich, U., G.C. Leckebusch, and J.G. Pinto, 2009: Extra-tropical cyclones in the present and future climate: a review. Theo. Appl. Climatology, Vol. 96, No. 1-2, 117-131. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-008-0083-8.

  • Leckebusch, G.C., B. Koffi, U. Ulbrich, J. Pinto, T. Spangehl, S. Zacharias, 2006: Analysis of frequency and intensity of winter storm events in Europe on synoptic and regional scales from a multi-model perspective. Climate Research, 31, 59-74
  • Lionello, P., P. Malanotte-Rizzoli, R. Boscolo, P. Alpert, V. Artale, L. Li, J. Luterbacher, W. May, R. Trigo, M. Tsimplis, U. Ulbrich, and E. Xoplaki, 2006:  The Mediterranean climate: An Overview of the Main Characteristics and Issues. In: P. Lionello, P. Malanotte-Rizzoli & R. Boscolo (Eds), Mediterranean Climate Variability, Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 398—415.
  • Pinto, J. G., T. Spangehl, U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2006. Assessment of winter cyclone activity in a transient ECHAM4-OPYC3 GHG experiment. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 15, 1-13.
  • Santos, J.A., J. Corte-Real, U. Ulbrich,and J. Palutikof, 2006. European winter precipitation extremes and large-scale circulation: A coupled model and its scenarios. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 87, 85-102.
  • Ulbrich, U., W. May, L. Li, P. Lionello, J. G. Pinto and S. Somot, 2006: The Mediterranean climate change under global warming. In: P. Lionello, P. Malanotte-Rizzoli & R. Boscolo (Eds), Mediterranean Climate Variability, Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 398—415.

  • Kundzewicz, Z.W., U. Ulbrich, T. Brücher, D. Graczyk, A. Krüger, G.C. Leckebusch, L. Menzel, I. Pinskwar, M. Radziejewski and M. Szwed, 2005: Summer Floods in Central Europe – Climate Change Track? Natural Hazards, Volume 36, Number 1-2, 165–189. DOI:10.1007/s11069-004-4547-6.
  • Pinto, J. G., T. Spangehl, U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2005. Sensitivities of a cyclone detection and tracking algorithm: individual tracks and climatology. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 14, 823-838.

  • Fink, A.H., T. Brücher, A. Krüger, G.C. Leckebusch, J.G. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2004: The 2003 European summer heat waves and drought - Synoptic diagnosis and impact. Weather, 59, 209-216.
  • Kundzewicz, Z.W., D. Graczyk, I. Pinskwar, M. Radziejewski,. M. Szwed, L. Bärring, C. Giannakopoulos, T. Holt, J. Palutikof, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, M. Schwarb, 2004: Changes in the occurrence of extremes, Part I, climatic background. Papers on global change IGBP, 11, 9-20.
  • Kundzewicz, Z.W., D. Graczyk, I. Pinskwar, M. Radziejewski,. M. Szwed, L. Bärring, C. Giannakopoulos, J. Palutikof, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, M. Schwarb, 2004: Changes in the occurrence of extremes, Part II, impacts on selected sectors. Papers on global change IGBP, 11, 21-32.
  • Leckebusch, G.C., U. Ulbrich, 2004: On the relationship between cyclones and extreme windstorm events over Europe under climate change. Global and Planetary Change, 44, 181-193.

  • Eckhardt, K., U. Ulbrich, 2003: Potential impacts of climate change on groundwater recharge and streamflow in a central european low mountain range. J. Hydrology, 284, 244-252.
  • Klawa, M., U. Ulbrich, 2003: A model for the estimation of storm losses and the identification of severe winter storms in Germany. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 3, 725-732.
  • Knippertz, P., U. Ulbrich, F. Marques, J. Corte-Real, 2003: Decadal changes in the link El Niño, NAO and European/North African rainfall. Int. J. Climatology, 23, 1293 - 1311.
  • Ulbrich, U., T. Brücher, A.H. Fink, G.C. Leckebusch, A. Krüger, J. G. Pinto, 2003: The Central European Floods in August 2002 ,Part I: Rainfall periods and flood development. Weather, 58, 371-376.
  • Ulbrich, U., T. Brücher, A.H. Fink, G.C. Leckebusch, A. Krüger, J.G. Pinto, 2003: The Central European Floods in August 2002 , Part II: Synoptic causes and considerations with respect to climatic change. Weather, 58, 434-441.

  • Böllinger, G., A. Krüger, R. Röger, U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2001: Die Wirkung anthropogener Klimaänderungen auf die Grundwasserneubildung und die Reaktionsmöglichkeiten der vollziehenden Gewalt (Effect of the anthropogenic climate change on ground water recharge, and possibilities for a reaction of state institutions). Natur und Recht, 23, 121-128.
  • Krüger, A., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2001: Groundwater recharge in Northrhine-Westfalia predicted by a statistical model for greenhouse gas scenarios. Physics and Chemistry of the earth (B), 26, 853-861.
  • Ulbrich, U., A.H. Fink, M. Klawa and J.G. Pinto , 2001: Three extreme storms over Europe in December 1999. Weather, 56, 70-80.

  • Christoph, M., U. Ulbrich, J.M. Oberhuber, E. Roeckner, 2000: The role of ocean dynamics for low-frequency fluctuations of the NAO in a coupled Ocean-Atmosphere GCM. J. Climate, 13, 2536 - 2549.
  • Hübener, H., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2000: The role of baroclinic instability for Changma rainfall. Korean Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 3,53-66.
  • Knippertz, P., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2000: Changing cyclones and surface wind speeds over the North-Atlantic and Europe in a transient GHG experiment. Climate Research, 15, 109-122.

  • Ulbrich, U., M. Christoph , J.G. Pinto, J. Corte-Real, 1999: Dependence of Winter Precipitation over Portugal on NAO and Baroclinic Wave Activity. Int. J. Climatol., 19, 379-390.
  • Ulbrich, U., M. Christoph, 1999: A Shift of the NAO and Increasing Storm Track Activity over Europe due to Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Forcing. Climate Dynamics, 15, 551-559.

  • Leckebusch, G., A. Fink, P. Speth, 1998: Herkunftsgebiete, Flüsse und Senken von Feuchte in südlichen Polarregionen: Ein Vergleich zwischen Paläoklimaten und dem rezenten Klima. Annalen der Meteorologie, 37, Selbstverlag des Deutschen Wetterdienstes, 431-432.
  • Leckebusch, G.C., P. Speth, 1998: Feuchtetransporte und Feuchteakkumulation in antarktischen und arktischen Eisgebieten. Ein Vergleich zwischen Paläoklimaten und dem rezenten Klima. Berichte zur Polarforschung, 277, 71-72.

  • Christoph, M., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 1997: Midwinter suppression of Northern Hemisphere Storm Track Activity in the Real Atmosphere and in GCM Experiments. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 1589-1599.

  • Fink, A., U. Ulbrich, H. Engel, 1996: Aspects of the January 1995 flood in Germany. Weather, 51 (Feb. 1996), 34-39.
  • Haak, U., U. Ulbrich, 1996: Verification of an objective cyclone climatology for the North Atlantic. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, N.F. , 5, 24 - 30.
  • Lunkeit, F., M. Ponater, R. Sausen, M. Sogalla, U. Ulbrich, M. Windelband, 1996: Cyclonic activity in a warmer climate. Beitr. Phys. Atmosphäre, 69, 393 – 407
  • Ulbrich, U., A. Fink, 1996: The January 1995 flood in Germany: Meteorological versus Hydrological causes. Phys. Chem. Earth, 20, 439-444.

  • Christoph, M., U. Ulbrich, U. Haak, 1995: Faster determination of the intraseasonal variability of stormtracks using Murakami's recursive filter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 578 - 581.
  • Ulbrich, U., H.-F. Graf, I. Kirchner, 1995: The impact of El Niño and volcanic forcing on the atmospheric energy cycle and the zonal mean atmospheric circulation. Beitr. Phys. Atmosph., 68, 59 - 74., auch erschienen in: Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie Hamburg, Report Nr. 133, 24 pp
  • Ulbrich, U., 1995: Comments on „Large-scale aspects of the United States hydrologic cycle. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 76, No. 9, 391-392.

  • von Storch, H., D. Schriever, K. Arpe, G.W. Branstator, R. Legnani, U. Ulbrich, 1994: Numerical experiments on the atmospheric response to cold equatorial Pacific conditions („La Niña“) during northern summer. The Global Atmosphere and Ocean System, 2, 99 - 120.

  • Ulbrich, U. , G. Bürger, D. Schriever, H. von Storch, S.L. Weber, and G. Schmitz, 1993: The effect of a regional increase in ocean surface roughness on the tropospheric circulation, a GCM experiment. Climate Dynamics., 8, 277 - 285.


  • Ulbrich, U., M. Ponater, 1992: Energy cycle diagnosis of two versions of a low resolution GCM. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 50, 197 - 210.

  • Ulbrich, U. and P. Speth, 1991: The global energy cycle of stationary and transient atmospheric waves. Results from ECMWF analyses. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 45, 125 – 138.


  • Ulbrich, U., L. Ahorner und A. Ebel, 1987: Statistical investigations on diurnal and annual periodicity and on tidal triggering of local earthquakes in Central Europe. J. Geophys, 61, 150-157.