Höschel, Ines; Grieger, Jens; Ulbrich, Uwe; Decadal predictability of winter windstorm frequency in Eastern Europe in: Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 19 (2017), EGU2017-6853
Walz, Michael A.; Kruschke, Tim; Leckebusch, Gregor; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Quantifying the extremity of windstorms for regions featuring infrequent events in: RMetS (2017) DOI: 10.1002/asl.758. - URL: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl.758/references
Walz, Michael A.; Kruschke, Tim; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Leckebusch, Gregor; Quantifying the extremity of windstorms for regions featuring infrequent events in: Atmospheric Science Letters. - 18 (2017), 7, 315-322 ISSN: 1530261X. - DOI: 10.1002/asl.758. - URL: http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/asl.758. - URN: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asl.758
Ritschel, Christoph; Nevir, Peter; Ulbrich, Uwe; Rust, Henning; Precipitation extremes on multiple timescales – Bartlett–Lewis rectangular pulse model and intensity–duration–frequency curves in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. - 21 (2017), 12, 6501-6517, ISSN: 1607-7938. - DOI: 10.5194/hess-21-6501-2017. - URL: https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/21/6501/2017/. - URN: http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6501-2017
Grieger, Jens; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Bias adjustment for climate predictions: an overview in: EGU. - 19 (2017), EGU2017-15237
Fischer, Madlen; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; A spatial and seasonal climatology of extreme precipitation return-levels: A case study in: Spatial Statistics (2017), ISSN: 22116753. - DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2017.11.007. - URL: https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2211675317300283. - URN: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.spasta.2017.11.007
Becker, N., Ulbrich, U.: Reliability of windstorm predictions in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system, Geophysical research abstracts. - 18 (2016), Seite EGU2016-15684, ISSN: 1607-7962. - URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2016/EGU2016-15684.pdf
Grieger, J., Kröner, I., Höschel, I., Rust, H. W., Ulbrich, U.: Stratified verification of decadal mid-latitude cyclones and wind storms forecasts, Geophysical research abstracts. - 18 (2016), Seite EGU2016-13280, ISSN: 1607-7962. - URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2016/EGU2016-13280.pdf
Pardowitz, T., Heisterkamp, T., Göber, M., Ulbrich, U.: Prediction of weather related fire brigade operations on the basis of nowcasting data, EMS annual meeting. - 12 (2015), Abstract Nr. EMS2015-592, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EMS2015/EMS2015-592.pdf
May, W., Ganske, A., Leckebusch, G. C., Rockel, B., Tinz, B., Ulbrich, U.: Climate changes in the North Sea region : a review of recent assessments, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-1370-1
Kruschke, T., Rust, H. W., Kadow, C., Ulbrich, U., Leckebusch, G. C.: Skill of probabilistic decadal forecasts regarding the frequencies of Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical cyclones, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-12298
Höschel, I., Grieger, J., Rust, H. W., Ulbrich, U., Cubasch, U.: The 1990s warming in the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in hindcasts of the MiKlip decadal prediction system, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-9093, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2015/EGU2015-9093.pdf
Kröner, I., Rust, H. W., Kruschke, T., Ulbrich, U.: Reliability of predicting the number of frost days in the MiKlip decadal prediction system, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-12962, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2015/EGU2015-12962.pdf
Mazza, E., Ulbrich, U., Klein, R.: From baroclinic to barotropic: the evolution of Medicane Cornelia, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-11605
Walz, M., Kruschke, T., Rust, H., Leckebusch, G. C., Ulbrich, U.: Development of a Distribution-Independent Storm Severity Index (DISSI), Geophysical Research Abstracts Vol. 17, EGU2015-11078-1,. - 17 (2015), Abstract Nr. EGU2015-11078-1, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2015/EGU2015-11078-1.pdf
V. Guemas, L. Auger, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, H.W. Rust, A. Ribes: Dealing with data dependencies when applying statistical hypothesis tests for climate time series (accepted by Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. 2014)
Kruschke, T., Rust, H. W., Kadow, C., Leckebusch, G. C., Ulbrich, U.: Evaluating probabilistic decadal forecasts of Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical cyclone frequencies, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-12360,URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-12360.pdf
Kröner, I., Kruschke, T., Rust, H. W., Ulbrich, U.: Decadal predictability of frost days in the MPI-ESM-LR model, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-11963-1, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-11963.pdf
Schuster, M., Donat, M., Grieger, J., Leckebusch, G. C., Ulbrich, U.: Climate change of Southern Hemisphere cyclone activity and its possible mechanisms, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-4041-1, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-4041-1.pdf
Schartner, T., Ulbrich, U., Nevir, P.: Development of key atmospheric parameters during thunderstorm development in Central Europe, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-11681, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-11681.pdf
Lionello, P., Trigo, I. F., Gil Alfonso, V., Liberato, M. L. R., Nissen, K., Pinto, J. G., Reale, M., Trigo, R. M., Ulbrich, U,. Ulbrich, S.: Objective climatologies of cyclones in the Mediterranean region : implications of system identification and tracking criteria, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-7972, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-7972.pdfThürkow, Markus; Kirchner, Ingo; Ulbrich, Uwe; Weiher, Stefan; Will, A.: Relevance of meso-scales a two-way-nesting approach, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-11424
Heisterkamp, T., Ulbrich, U., Glade, T., Tetzlaff, G.: Influence of warning information changes on emergency response, Geophysical Research Abstracts. - 16 (2014), Abstract Nr. EGU2014-13167, URL: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-13167.pdf
Hermann, Held; Gerstengarbe, Friedrich-Wilhelm; Pardowitz, Tobias; Pinto, Joaquim G.; Ulbrich, Uwe; Born, Kai; Donat, Markus G.; Karremann, Melanie K.; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Ludwig, Patrick; Nissen, Katrin M.; Österle, Hermann; Prahl, Boris F.; Werner, Peter C.; Befort, Daniel J.; Burghoff, Olaf: Projections of global warming-induced impacts on winter storm losses in the German private household sector, Climatic Change. - 121 (2013), 2, 195-207, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0872-7.
Lehmann, E., and P. Névir: Uncertainties in relative atmospheric angular momentum computed from zonal winds in reanalysis data, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D09101, doi:10.1029/2011JD016658.
P. Lionello, L. Cavaleri, K.M. Nissen, C. Pino, F. Raicich, U. Ulbrich, 2012: Severe marine storms in the Northern Adriatic: Characteristics and trends, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 40-41,93-105.
U. Ulbrich, P. Lionello, D. Belusic, J. Jacobeit, P. Knippertz, F.G. Kuglitsch, G.C. Leckebusch, J. Luterbacher, M. Mauden, P. Maheras, K.M. Nissen, V. Pavan, J.G. Pinto, H. Saaroni, S. Seubert, A. Toreti, E. Xoplaki, B. Ziv, 2012: Climate of the Mediterranean: Synoptic Patterns, Temperature, Winds, and Their Extremes, Capter 5 in: The Climate of the Mediterranean Region, Elsevier
K.M. Nissen, G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, D. Renggli, S. Ulbrich, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Cyclones causing wind storms in the Mediterranean: characteristics, trends and links to large-scale patterns, Natural hazards and earth system sciences, 10, 1379-1391.
Donat, M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, S. Wild, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Benefits and limitations of regional multi-model ensembles for storm loss estimations. Clate Research (submitted)
Donat, M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, S. Wild, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Future changes of European winter storm losses and extreme wind speeds in multi-model GCM and RCM simulations. NHESS (to be submitted)
Pinto, J.G., C.P. Neuhaus, G.C. Leckebusch, M. Reyers, M. Kerschgens, 2010: Estimation of wind storm impacts over Western Germany under future climate conditions using a statistical-dynamical downscaling approach. Tellus. DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2009.00424.x
Donat, M., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Examination of wind storms over Central Europe with respect to circulation weather types and NAO phases, International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1982
Donat, M., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2010: European storminess and associated circulation weather types, Climate Research, DOI: 10.3354/cr00853
Nissen, K., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, D. Renggli, S. Ulbrich, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Cyclones causing wind storms in the Mediterranean: characteristics, trends and links to large-scale patterns, Natural hazards and earth system sciences, Vol. 10, No. 7. pp. 1379–1391
Loukas, A., M.-C.Llassat, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Preface: "Extreme events induced by weather and climate change : evaluation, forecasting and proactive planning", Natural hazards and earth system sciences, Vol. 10, DOI: 10.5194/nhess-10-1895-2010
Pinto, J., C.P. Neuhaus, G.C. Leckebusch, M. Reyers, M. Kerschgens, 2010: Estimation of wind storm impacts over Western Germany under future climate conditions using a statistical-dynamical downscaling approach. Tellus, Vol. 62, No. 2, pp. 188-201, DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2009.00424.x
Lorenz, P., D. Jacob, 2010: Validation of temperature trends in the ENSEMBLES regional climate model runs driven by ERA40, Climate Research, Vol. 44, No. 2/3, pp. 167-177, DOI: 10.3354/cr00973
Donat, M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, J.G. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2009: Examination of Wind Storms over Central Europe with respect to Circulation Weather Types and NAO phases. International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1982
Donat M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, J.G. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2009: European storminess and associated atmospheric circulation: future changes in a multi-model ensemble of GCMs. Climate Research (submitted)
Lehmann E., Hansen F., Ulbrich U., Névir P., Leckebusch G.C., 2009: Assessing the effect of the relative atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) on length-of-day (LOD) variations under climate warming, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 11, EGU2009-10520-1.2009.
Lehmann E., Götzsch A., Ulbrich U., Leckbusch G.C., Névir P., Thomas M., 2009: Long-term ERP time series as indicators for global climate variability and climate change, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 11, EGU2009-9084-1.
Pinto, J.G., C.P. Neuhaus, G.C. Leckebusch, M. Reyers, M. Kerschgens, P. Speth, 2009: Estimating changes of storminess using a statistical-dynamical downscaling approach: application to West Germany. Tellus. Submitted on 9.4.2009.
Pinto, J.G., S. Zacharias, A.H. Fink, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, 2009: Factors contributing to the development of extreme North Atlantic cyclones and their relationship with the NAO. Clim. Dyn., Vol. 32, 711-737. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-008-0396-4.
Ulbrich, U., G.C. Leckebusch, and J.G. Pinto, 2009: Extra-tropical cyclones in the present and future climate: a review. Theo. Appl. Climatology, Vol. 96, No. 1-2, 117-131. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-008-0083-8.
Leckebusch, G.C., A. Kapala, H. Mächel, J.G. Pinto und M. Reyers, 2008: Indizes der Nordatlantischen und Arktischen Oszillation. Promet, 2008.
Leckebusch, G.C., D. Renggli, and U. Ulbrich, 2008: Development and Application of an Objective Storm Severity Measure for the Northeast Atlantic Region. Meteorol. Z., Vol. 17, No. 5, 575-587. DOI: 10.1127/0941-2948/2008/0323.
Lehmann, E., G. C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, P. Névir, 2008: Effects of ENSO on sub-seasonal to interannual length-of-day (LOD) variability. Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 10, 1607/gra/EGU2008-A-10515.
Hanson, C., J. P. Palutikof, M. T. J. Livermore, L. Barring, M. Bindi, J. Corte-Real, R. Durao, C. Giannakopoulos, P. Good, T. Holt, Z. Kundzewicz, G.C. Leckebusch, M. Moriondo, M. Radziejewski, J. Santos, P. Schlyter, M. Schwarb, I. Stjernquist, U. Ulbrich, 2007: Modelling the Impact of Climate Extremes: An overview of the MICE project. Climatic Change, Vol. 81, 163–177. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-006-9230-3.
Pinto, J.G., E.L. Fröhlich, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, 2007: Changing European storm loss potentials under modified climate conditions according to ensemble simulations of the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GCM. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 7, 165–175, 2007.
Leckebusch, G.C., B. Koffi, U. Ulbrich, J. Pinto, T. Spangehl, S. Zacharias, 2006: Analysis of frequency and intensity of winter storm events in Europe on synoptic and regional scales from a multi-model perspective. Climate Research, 31, 59-74
Lionello, P., P. Malanotte-Rizzoli, R. Boscolo, P. Alpert, V. Artale, L. Li, J. Luterbacher, W. May, R. Trigo, M. Tsimplis, U. Ulbrich, and E. Xoplaki, 2006: The Mediterranean climate: An Overview of the Main Characteristics and Issues. In: P. Lionello, P. Malanotte-Rizzoli & R. Boscolo (Eds), Mediterranean Climate Variability, Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 398—415.
Pinto, J. G., T. Spangehl, U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2006. Assessment of winter cyclone activity in a transient ECHAM4-OPYC3 GHG experiment. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 15, 1-13.
Santos, J.A., J. Corte-Real, U. Ulbrich,and J. Palutikof, 2006. European winter precipitation extremes and large-scale circulation: A coupled model and its scenarios. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 87, 85-102.
Ulbrich, U., W. May, L. Li, P. Lionello, J. G. Pinto and S. Somot, 2006: The Mediterranean climate change under global warming. In: P. Lionello, P. Malanotte-Rizzoli & R. Boscolo (Eds), Mediterranean Climate Variability, Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 398—415.
Kundzewicz, Z.W., U. Ulbrich, T. Brücher, D. Graczyk, A. Krüger, G.C. Leckebusch, L. Menzel, I. Pinskwar, M. Radziejewski and M. Szwed, 2005: Summer Floods in Central Europe – Climate Change Track? Natural Hazards, Volume 36, Number 1-2, 165–189. DOI:10.1007/s11069-004-4547-6.
Pinto, J. G., T. Spangehl, U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2005. Sensitivities of a cyclone detection and tracking algorithm: individual tracks and climatology. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 14, 823-838.
Fink, A.H., T. Brücher, A. Krüger, G.C. Leckebusch, J.G. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2004: The 2003 European summer heat waves and drought - Synoptic diagnosis and impact. Weather, 59, 209-216.
Kundzewicz, Z.W., D. Graczyk, I. Pinskwar, M. Radziejewski,. M. Szwed, L. Bärring, C. Giannakopoulos, T. Holt, J. Palutikof, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, M. Schwarb, 2004: Changes in the occurrence of extremes, Part I, climatic background. Papers on global change IGBP, 11, 9-20.
Kundzewicz, Z.W., D. Graczyk, I. Pinskwar, M. Radziejewski,. M. Szwed, L. Bärring, C. Giannakopoulos, J. Palutikof, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, M. Schwarb, 2004: Changes in the occurrence of extremes, Part II, impacts on selected sectors. Papers on global change IGBP, 11, 21-32.
Leckebusch, G.C., U. Ulbrich, 2004: On the relationship between cyclones and extreme windstorm events over Europe under climate change. Global and Planetary Change, 44, 181-193.
Eckhardt, K., U. Ulbrich, 2003: Potential impacts of climate change on groundwater recharge and streamflow in a central european low mountain range. J. Hydrology, 284, 244-252.
Klawa, M., U. Ulbrich, 2003: A model for the estimation of storm losses and the identification of severe winter storms in Germany. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 3, 725-732.
Knippertz, P., U. Ulbrich, F. Marques, J. Corte-Real, 2003: Decadal changes in the link El Niño, NAO and European/North African rainfall. Int. J. Climatology, 23, 1293 - 1311.
Ulbrich, U., T. Brücher, A.H. Fink, G.C. Leckebusch, A. Krüger, J. G. Pinto, 2003: The Central European Floods in August 2002 ,Part I: Rainfall periods and flood development. Weather, 58, 371-376.
Ulbrich, U., T. Brücher, A.H. Fink, G.C. Leckebusch, A. Krüger, J.G. Pinto, 2003: The Central European Floods in August 2002 , Part II: Synoptic causes and considerations with respect to climatic change. Weather, 58, 434-441.
Böllinger, G., A. Krüger, R. Röger, U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2001: Die Wirkung anthropogener Klimaänderungen auf die Grundwasserneubildung und die Reaktionsmöglichkeiten der vollziehenden Gewalt (Effect of the anthropogenic climate change on ground water recharge, and possibilities for a reaction of state institutions). Natur und Recht, 23, 121-128.
Krüger, A., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2001: Groundwater recharge in Northrhine-Westfalia predicted by a statistical model for greenhouse gas scenarios. Physics and Chemistry of the earth (B), 26, 853-861.
Ulbrich, U., A.H. Fink, M. Klawa and J.G. Pinto , 2001: Three extreme storms over Europe in December 1999. Weather, 56, 70-80.
Christoph, M., U. Ulbrich, J.M. Oberhuber, E. Roeckner, 2000: The role of ocean dynamics for low-frequency fluctuations of the NAO in a coupled Ocean-Atmosphere GCM. J. Climate, 13, 2536 - 2549.
Hübener, H., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2000: The role of baroclinic instability for Changma rainfall. Korean Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 3,53-66.
Knippertz, P., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2000: Changing cyclones and surface wind speeds over the North-Atlantic and Europe in a transient GHG experiment. Climate Research, 15, 109-122.
Ulbrich, U., M. Christoph , J.G. Pinto, J. Corte-Real, 1999: Dependence of Winter Precipitation over Portugal on NAO and Baroclinic Wave Activity. Int. J. Climatol., 19, 379-390.
Ulbrich, U., M. Christoph, 1999: A Shift of the NAO and Increasing Storm Track Activity over Europe due to Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Forcing. Climate Dynamics, 15, 551-559.
Leckebusch, G., A. Fink, P. Speth, 1998: Herkunftsgebiete, Flüsse und Senken von Feuchte in südlichen Polarregionen: Ein Vergleich zwischen Paläoklimaten und dem rezenten Klima. Annalen der Meteorologie, 37, Selbstverlag des Deutschen Wetterdienstes, 431-432.
Leckebusch, G.C., P. Speth, 1998: Feuchtetransporte und Feuchteakkumulation in antarktischen und arktischen Eisgebieten. Ein Vergleich zwischen Paläoklimaten und dem rezenten Klima. Berichte zur Polarforschung, 277, 71-72.
Christoph, M., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 1997: Midwinter suppression of Northern Hemisphere Storm Track Activity in the Real Atmosphere and in GCM Experiments. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 1589-1599.
Fink, A., U. Ulbrich, H. Engel, 1996: Aspects of the January 1995 flood in Germany. Weather, 51 (Feb. 1996), 34-39.
Haak, U., U. Ulbrich, 1996: Verification of an objective cyclone climatology for the North Atlantic. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, N.F. , 5, 24 - 30.
Lunkeit, F., M. Ponater, R. Sausen, M. Sogalla, U. Ulbrich, M. Windelband, 1996: Cyclonic activity in a warmer climate. Beitr. Phys. Atmosphäre, 69, 393 – 407
Ulbrich, U., A. Fink, 1996: The January 1995 flood in Germany: Meteorological versus Hydrological causes. Phys. Chem. Earth, 20, 439-444.
Christoph, M., U. Ulbrich, U. Haak, 1995: Faster determination of the intraseasonal variability of stormtracks using Murakami's recursive filter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 578 - 581.
Ulbrich, U., H.-F. Graf, I. Kirchner, 1995: The impact of El Niño and volcanic forcing on the atmospheric energy cycle and the zonal mean atmospheric circulation. Beitr. Phys. Atmosph., 68, 59 - 74., auch erschienen in: Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie Hamburg, Report Nr. 133, 24 pp
Ulbrich, U., 1995: Comments on „Large-scale aspects of the United States hydrologic cycle. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 76, No. 9, 391-392.
von Storch, H., D. Schriever, K. Arpe, G.W. Branstator, R. Legnani, U. Ulbrich, 1994: Numerical experiments on the atmospheric response to cold equatorial Pacific conditions („La Niña“) during northern summer. The Global Atmosphere and Ocean System, 2, 99 - 120.
Ulbrich, U. , G. Bürger, D. Schriever, H. von Storch, S.L. Weber, and G. Schmitz, 1993: The effect of a regional increase in ocean surface roughness on the tropospheric circulation, a GCM experiment. Climate Dynamics., 8, 277 - 285.
Ulbrich, U. and P. Speth, 1991: The global energy cycle of stationary and transient atmospheric waves. Results from ECMWF analyses. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 45, 125 – 138.
Ulbrich, U., L. Ahorner und A. Ebel, 1987: Statistical investigations on diurnal and annual periodicity and on tidal triggering of local earthquakes in Central Europe. J. Geophys, 61, 150-157.
