Springe direkt zu Inhalt

Univ.-Prof. Dr. Uwe Ulbrich

Ulbrich_klein

Freie Universität Berlin

Institut für Meteorologie

Professor, Leiter der AG Klimadiagnostik und meteorologische Extremereignisse, Dekan des Fachbereichs Geowissenschaften

Adresse
Carl-Heinrich-Becker-Weg 6-10
Raum 286 (Neubau)
12165 Berlin
Sekretariat
Anke Debbertin
Kontakt
Fax
+49-(0)30 838-71128

Sprechstunde

Dienstag 16:00 bis 17:00 Uhr und nach Vereinbarung

Berufliche Laufbahn

Seit 01.09.2004

C3-Professur Meteorologie (Allgemeine Meteorologie), Freie Universität Berlin

1990-2004

Wissenschaftlicher Mitarbeiter des Instituts für Geophysik und Meteorologie der Universität zu Köln

1985-1990

Projektstellen

Universitätsausbildung

2000

Habilitation in Meteorologie am Institut für Geophysik und Meteorologie der Universität zu Köln. Thema: „Aktivität von baroklinen Wellenstörungen und Zyklonen auf der Nordhemisphäre“

1985-1989

Promotionsstudium der Meteorologie an der Universität zu Köln, Dissertation: „Der atmosphärische Energiezyklus der stationären und der transienten Wellen“

1978-1985

Studium der Geophysik an der Universität zu Köln. Diplomarbeit: „Statistische Untersuchungen der Erdbebentätigkeit auf dem Gebiet der Bundesrepublik Deutschland in Hinblick auf Periodizitäten und mögliche Triggermechanismen“

Gremienarbeit und Kommissionen an der Freien Universität Berlin:

seit 2017 Geschäftsführender Direktor des Instituts für Meteorologie
seit 2014 Mitglied des Zentralen Wahlvorstands der Freien Universität
seit 2013 Internationalisierungs-Beauftragter des Fachbereichs Geowissenschaften
2011-2017 Prodekan für Forschung des Fachbereichs Geowissenschaften
2011-2017 Stellvertr. geschäftsführender Direktor des Instituts für Meteorologie
2010-2015 Stellvertr. Vorsitzender des Prüfungsausschusses Meteorologie

seit 2007

Kommission zur Ausarbeitung der neuen Promotionsordnung des Fachbereichs Geowissenschaften

Wissenschaftlicher Beirat des Italienzentrums der Freien Universität

2007-2011

Geschäftsführender Direktor des Instituts für Meteorologie

seit 2006

Kommission für die „Einstein Lectures“ der Freien Universität

seit 2005

Ständige Kommission der Dahlem Research School

Studiengangsleiter des Bachelor- und Masterstudiengang Meteorologie

2005-2010

Vorsitzender des Prüfungsausschusses Meteorologie


Ehrungen und Auszeichnungen

"THE GORDON MANLEY WEATHER PRlZE" OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 2008


 

 

Arbeits- und Interessen-Schwerpunkte

  • Diagnose der Atmosphäre hinsichtlich physikalischer Prozesse, insbesondere zu den Themen Verständnis der Klimavariabilität und von meteorologischen Extremereignissen in mittleren Breiten, Validierung von Klimamodellen und anthropogene Klimaänderung

  • Im Detail betreffen die untersuchten meteorologischen Phänomene die Zyklonenaktivität, großräumige Variabilitätsmuster wie die NAO, und die Identifikation der großskaligen Bedingungen für Sturm, Hochwasser und extreme Regenereignisse. Interdisziplinäre Arbeiten gemeinsam mit Versicherungswirtschaft und Rechtswissenschaft  ergänzen die fachwissenschaftlichen Ansätze, speziell hinsichtlich Wirkungen von Klimaänderungen und  Extremereignissen

Wissenschaftliche Aktivitäten

 

Wissenschaftliche Veröffentlichungen - (Alle Publikationen der Arbeitgruppe hier)

2018

Walz, Michael A.; Befort, Daniel J.; Kirchner-Bossi, Nicolas O.; Ulbrich, Uwe; Leckebusch, Gregor C. (2018): Modelling serial clustering and inter-annual variability of European winter windstorms based on largescale drivers. Int J Climatol. 2018;38:3044–3057. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5481

2017

Nissen, Katrin; Ulbrich, Uwe (2017): Increasing frequencies and changing characteristics of heavy precipitation events threatening infrastructure in Europe under climate change. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 17, 1177 - 1190. DOI: 10.5194/nhess-17-1177-2017. Mazza, Edoardo; Ulbrich, Uwe; Klein, Rupert (2017): The Tropical Transition of the October 1996 Medicane in the Western Mediterranean Sea: A Warm Seclusion Event. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 2575–2595, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0474.1
Walz, Michael A.; Kruschke, Tim; Rust, Henning W.; Ulbrich, Uwe; Leckebusch, Gregor C. (2017): Quantifying the extremity of windstorms for regions featuring infrequent events. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 18: 315–322. DOI:10.1002/asl.758 Kadow, Christopher; Illing, Sebastian; Kröner, Igor; Ulbrich, Uwe; Cubasch, Ulrich (2017): Decadal climate predictions improved by ocean ensemble dispersion filteringJ. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 9, 1138-1149, DOI: 10.1002/2016MS000787 Dobler, Andreas; Feldmann, Hendrik; Ulbrich, Uwe (2017): Grenzen und Herausforderungen der regionalen Klimamodellierung. Klimawandel in Deutschland. Springer Spektrum. Pages: 37 - 44. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-662-50397-3

2016

May, Wilhelm; Ganske, Anette; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Rockel, Burkhardt; Tinz, Birger; Ulbrich, Uwe (2016): Projected Change - Atmosphere. North Sea Region Climate Change Assessment. Springer International Publishing. Pages: 149 - 173. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-39745-0_5
Schielicke, Lisa; Névir, Peter; Ulbrich, Uwe (2016): Kinematic vorticity number: A tool for estimating vortex sizes and circulations. Tellus A. - 68 (2016), Artikel Nr. 29464 (20 S.), ISSN: 0280-6495. - DOI: 10.3402/tellusa.v68.29464. Befort, Daniel J.; Wild, Simon; Kruschke, Tim; Ulbrich, Uwe; Leckebusch, Gregor C. (2016): Different long-term trends of extra-tropical cyclones and windstorms in ERA-20C and NOAA-20CR reanalyses. ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS   Volume: 17   Issue: 11   Pages: 586-595, DOI: 10.1002/asl.694 Pardowitz, Tobias; Befort, Daniel J.; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Ulbrich, Uwe (2016): Estimating uncertainties from high resolution simulations of extreme wind storms and consequences for impacts. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. - 25 (2016), 5, S. 531-541, ISSN: 0941-2948. - DOI: 10.1127/metz/2016/0582. Pardowitz, Tobias; Osinski, Robert; Kruschke, Tim; Ulbrich, Uwe (2016): An analysis of uncertainties and skill in forecasts of winter storm losses. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. - 16 (2016), 11, S. 2391-2402, ISSN: 1684-9981. - DOI: 10.5194/nhess-16-2391-2016. Marotzke, Jochem; Cubasch, Ulrich; Müller, Wolfgang; Vamborg, Freja; Becker, Paul; Feldmann, Hendrik; Kasper, Frank; Kottmeier, Christoph; Marini, Camille; Polkova, Juliia; Prömmel, Kerstin; Rust, Henning; Stammer, Detlef; Ulbrich, Uwe; Kadow, Christopher; Kohl, Armin; Kröger, Jürgen; Kruschke, Tim; Pinto, Joaquim; Pohlmann, Holger; Reyers, Mark; Schröder, Mark; Sienz, Frank; Timmreck, Claudia; Ziese, Markus (2016): MiKlip: A National Research Project on Decadal Climate Prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. - 97 (2016), 12, 2379-2394
ISSN: 0003-0007. - DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00184.1.
Hellmer, Hartmut; Cubasch, Ulrich; Rhein, Monika; Heinemann, Günther; Abalichin, Janna; Abouchami, Wafa; Baars, Oliver; Dethloff, Klaus; Ebner, Lars; Fahrbach, Eberhard; Frank, Martin; Gollan, Gereon; Greatbatch, Richard; Grieger, Jens; Gryanik, Vladimir; Gryschka, Micha; Hauch, Judith; Hoppema, Mario; Huhn, Oliver; Kanzow, Torsten; Koch, Boris; Koenig-Langlo, Gert; Langematz, Ulrike; Leckebusch, Gregor; Luepkes, Christof; Paul, Stephan; Rinke, Annette; Rost, Bjoern; Rutgers van der Loeff, Michiel; Schröder, Michael; Seckmeyer, Gunther; Stichel, Torben; Strass, Volker; Timmermann, Ralph; Trimborn, Scarlett; Ulbrich, Uwe; Venchiarutti, Celia; Wacker, Ulrike; Willmes, Sascha; Wolf-Gladrow, Dieter (2016): Meteorology and oceanography of the Atlantic sector of the Southern Ocean—a review of German achievements from the last decade. Ocean Dynamics. - 66 (2016), 11, 1379-1413, ISSN: 1616-7341. - DOI: 10.1007/s10236-016-0988-1. Rousi, Eftychia; Ulbrich, Uwe; Rust, Henning; Anagnostopoulou, Christina (2016): An NAO Climatology in Reanalysis Data with the Use of Self-organizing Maps. Perspectives on Atmospheric Sciences (2016), 719-724, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-35095-0_103. Kaspar, F.; Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Becker, P. (2016): Verification and process oriented validation of the MiKlip decadal prediction system. Meteorologische Zeitschrift. - 25 (2016), 6, 629-630, 
ISSN: 0941-2948. - DOI: 10.1127/metz/2016/0831.
Grieger, Jens; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Ulbrich, Uwe (2016): Net Precipitation of Antarctica: Thermodynamical and Dynamical Parts of the Climate Change Signal. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, Volume: 29   Issue: 3   Pages: 907-924 Kruschke, Tim; Rust, Henning W.; Kadow, Christopher; Müller, Wolfgang A,M Pohlmann, Holger; Leckebusch, Gregor C.; Ulbrich, Uwe (2016): Probabilistic evaluation of decadal prediction skill regarding Northern Hemisphere winter storms. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, Volume: 25, Issue: 6, Pages: 721-738. DOI: 10.1127/metz/2015/0641 Lionello, Piero; Trigo, Isabel F.; Gil, Victoria; Liberato, Margarida L. R.; Nissen, Katrin M.; Pinto, Joaquim G.; Raible, Christoph C.; Reale, Marco; Tanzarella, Annalisa; Trigo, Ricardo M.; Ulbrich, Sven; Ulbrich, Uwe (2016): Objective climatology of cyclones in the Mediterranean region: a consensus view among methods with different system identification and tracking criteria. TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY  , Volume: 68 ,  Article Number: 29391. DOI: 10.3402/tellusa.v68.29391

2015

Grieger, Jens; Schuster, Mareike; Höschel, Ines; Ulbrich, Uwe (2015): Winter windstorms during the last millennium and their relationship to NAO and AMV. 5th Workshop on European Storms Impacts and Predictability 31 August –2 September 2015, University of Bern, Switzerland : abstracts / Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research (OCCR). Ed. Christoph Raible .... - Bern: OCCR, 2015. - S. 18 Ulbrich, Uwe; Pardowitz, Tobias (2015): A Probabilistic View on Winter Storm Damages. 5th Workshop on European Storms Impacts and Predictability 31 August –2 September 2015, University of Bern, Switzerland : abstracts / Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research (OCCR). Ed. Christoph Raible ..., 2015. - S. 55 Rust, Henning; Ulbrich, Uwe; Kruschke, Tim; Dobler, Andreas; Fischer, Madlen (2015): Discontinuous Daily Temperatures in the WATCH Forcing Datasets, J. Hydrometeorol. (2015), 1, 465-472, DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-14-0123.1. Kox, Thomas; Gerhold, Lars; Ulbrich, Uwe (2015): Perception and use of uncertainty in severe weather warnings by emergency services in Germany, Atmos. Res. - 158/159 (2015), S. 292-301, DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2014.02.024. Lorenz, P.; Kruschke, Tim; Voigt, Maximilian; Ulbrich, Uwe; Leckebusch, Gregor; Faust, E.; Hofherr, T.; Majewski, D. (2015): An approach to build an event set of European wind storms based on ECMWF EPSNat. Hazard. Earth. Sys. Discussions. - 3 (2015), 2, 1231-1268, DOI: 10.5194/nhessd-3-1231-2015. Rust, Henning; Richling, Andy; Bissolli, Peter; Ulbrich, Uwe (2015): Linking teleconnection patterns to European temperature – a multiple linear regression modelMeteorol. Z. - 24 (2015), 4, S. 411-423, DOI: 10.1127/metz/2015/0642. Pardowitz, Tobias; Heisterkamp, Tobias; Göber, Martin; Ulbrich, Uwe (2015): Prediction of weather related fire brigade operations on the basis of nowcasting data. EMS annual meeting. - 12 (2015), Abstract Nr. EMS2015-592. Pardowitz, Tobias; Osinski, Robert; Ulbrich, Uwe (2015): Predictability of winter storm damages. EMS annual meeting abstracts. - 12 (2015), Abstract Nr. EMS2015-593 Dayan, U.; Nissen, Katrin; Ulbrich, Uwe (2015): Atmospheric conditions inducing extreme precipitation over the eastern and western Mediterranean. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. - 15 (2015), 11, S. 2525-2544, ISSN: 1684-9981. - DOI: 10.5194/nhess-15-2525-2015. Becker, Nico; Ulbrich, Uwe; Klein, Rupert (2015): Systematic large-scale secondary circulations in a regional climate model, Geophysical Research Letters. - 42 (2015), 10, 4142-4149, DOI: 10.1002/2015GL063955. Befort, D.J.; Fischer, Madlen; Leckebusch, G.C.; Ulbrich, Uwe; Ganske, A.; Rosenhagen, G.; Heinrich, H. (2015): Identification of storm surge events over the German Bight from atmospheric reanalysis and climate model dataNat. Hazard. Earth. Sys. (NHESS) (2015), 1437-1447, DOI: 10.5194/nhess-15-1437-2015

2014

H.W. Rust, T. Kruschke, A. Dobler, M. Fischer, U. Ulbrich, 2014: Discontinous daily temperatures in the WATCH forcing data sets. J. Hydrometeorol. (early online release). DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-14-0123.1 Grieger, J., G.C. Leckebusch, M.G. Donat, M. Schuster and U. Ulbrich, 2014: Southern Hemisphere winter cyclone activity under recent and future climate conditions in multi-model AOGCM simulations, Int. J. Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.3917 Kox, T., L. Gerhold and U. Ulbrich, 2014: Perception and use of uncertainty in severe weather warnings by emergency services in Germany, Atmospheric Research, DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2014.02.024 Nissen, K.M., U. Ulbrich and G.C. Leckebusch, 2014: Vb cyclones and associated rainfall extremes over Central Europe under present day and climate change conditions, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, DOI: 10.1127/0941-2948/2013/0514 Kruschke, T., Rust, H.W., Kadow, C., Leckebusch, G.C., Ulbrich, U., 2014: Evaluating decadal predictions of northern hemispheric cyclone frequencies, Tellus A, 66, 22830, DOI: 10.3402/tellusa.v66.22830

2013

Gualdi, S., Somot, S., May, W., Castellari, S., Déqué, M., Adani, M., Artale, V., Bellucci, A., Breitgand, J.S., Carillo, A., Cornes, R., Dell'Aquila, A., Dubois, C., Efthymiadis, D., Elizalde, A., Gimeno, L., Goodess, C.M., Harzallah, A., Krichak, S.O., Kuglitsch, F.G., Leckebusch, G.C., Lionello, P., Luterbacher, J., Nissen, K., Ulbrich, U., 2013: Future Climate Projections. In: Navarra, A., Tubiana, L., eds: Regional Assessment of Climate Change in the Mediterranean. Springer, Dordrecht, 53-118, ISBN 978-94-007-5780-6 Held, H., F.-W. Gerstengarbe, T. Pardowitz J.G. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, K. Born, M.G. Donat, M.K. Karremann. G.C. Leckebusch, P. Ludwig, K.M. Nissen, H. Österle, B.F. Prahl P.C. Werner, 2013: Projections of global warming-induced impacts on winter storm losses in the German private household sector, Climatic Change, 121, 195-207. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0872-7 Pinto, J.G., S. Ulbrich,   A. Parodi, R. Rudari, G. Boni, U. Ulbrich, 2013: Identification and ranking of extraordinary rainfall events over Northwest Italy: The role of Atlantic moisture, J. Geophys. Res. Atmospheres,118, 2085–2097, DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50179 Ulbrich, U., G.C. Leckebusch, M.G. Donat, 2013: Windstorms, the most costly natural hazard in Europe. In: Sarah Boulter, Jean Palutikof, David Karoly, and Daniela Guitart (eds.). Natural Disasters and Adaptation to Climate Change, Cambridge University press, Cambridge, 109-120, ISBN 9781107010161 Ulbrich, U., Xoplaki, E., Dobricic, S., Garcia-Herrera, R., Lionello, P., Adani, M., Baldi, M., Barriopedro, D., Coccimiglio, P., Dalu, G., Efthymiadis, D., Gaetani, M., Galati, M.B., Gimeno, L., Goodess, C.M.., Jones, P.D., Kuglitsch, F.G., Leckebusch, G.C., Luterbacher, J., Marcos-Moreno, M., Mariotti, A., Nieto, R., Nissen, K., Pettenuzzo, D., Pinardi, N., 2013: Past and Current Climate Changes in the Mediterranean egion. In: Navarra, A., Tubiana, L., eds: Regional Assessment of Climate Change in the Mediterranean, Springer, Dordrecht, 9-52, ISBN 978-94-007-5780-6 Øystein Hov, Ulrich Cubasch, Erich Fischer, Peter Höppe, Trond Iversen, Nils Gunnar Kvamstø, Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz, Daniela Rezacova, David Rios, Filipe Duarte Santos, Bruno Schädler, Ottó Veisz, Christos Zerefos, Rasmus Benestad, John Murlis, M. Donat, Gregor C. Leckebusch, Uwe Ulbrich, 2013: Extreme Weather Events in Europe: preparing for climate change adaptation, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, ISBN (print) 978-82-7144-100-5, ISBN (electronic) 978-82-7144-101-2, 136 pp. Neu, U., Akperov, M.G., Bellenbaum, N., Benestad, R.S., Blender, R., Caballero, R., Cocozza, A., Dacre, H.F., Feng, Y., Fraedrich, K., Grieger, J., Gulev, S., Hanley, J., Hewson, T., Inatsu, M., Keay, K., Kew, S. F., Kindem, I., Leckebusch, G.C., Liberato, M.L.R., Lionello, P., Mokhov, I.I., Pinto, J.G., Raible, C.C., Reale, M., Rudeva, I., Schuster, M., Simmonds, I., Sinclair, M., Sprenger, M., Tilinina, N.D., Trigo, I.F., Ulbrich, S., Ulbrich, U., Wang, X.L., Wernli, H., 2013: IMILAST A Community Effort to Intercompare Extratropical Cyclone Detection and Tracking Algorithms, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94, 529-547 Nissen, K., Ulbrich, U., Leckebusch, G.C., Kuhnel, I., 2013: Decadal windstorm activity in the North Atlantic-European sector and its relationship to the meridional overturning circulation in an ensemble of simulations with a coupled climate model, Climate Dyn.,  1-11 Nissen, K. M., Leckebusch, G.,C., Pinto, J.G., Ulbrich, U., 2013: Mediterranean cyclones and windstorms in a changing climate, Reg. Environ. Change, 2013, 1-18 Ulbrich, U., Leckebusch, G.C., Grieger, J., Schuster, M., Akperov, M., Bardin, M.Y., Feng, Y., Gulev, S., Inatsu, M., Keay, K., Kew, S.F., Liberato, M.L.R., Lionello, P., Mokhov, I.I., Neu, U., Pinto, J.G., Raible, C.C., Reale, M., Rudeva, I., Simmonds, I., Tilinina, N.D., Trigo, I.F., Ulbrich, S., Wang, X.L., Wernli, H., 2013, Are Greenhouse Gas Signals of Northern Hemisphere winter extra-tropical cyclone activity dependent on the identification and tracking algorithm?, Meteor. Z., 22, 61-68

2012

Gebauer, A., U. Schreiber, T. Klügel, N. Schön, U. Ulbrich, 2012: High Frequency Noise Caused By Wind in Large Ring Laser Gyroscope Data, Journal of Seismology, 16, 777–786, DOI: 10.1007/s10950-012-9283-x Lionello, P., M.Gacic, D.Gomis, R.Garcia-Herrera, F.Giorgi, S.Planton, R.Trigo, A.Theocharis, M.N.Tsimplis, U.Ulbrich, E.Xoplaki, 2012: Program focuses on climate of the Mediterranean region, EOS, 93 (10), 105-106, DOI: 10.1029/2012EO100001 Lionello, Piero, Fatima Abrantes, Letizia Congedi, Francois Dulac, Miro Gacic, Damià Gomis, Clare Goodess, Holger Hoff, Haim Kutiel, Jürg Luterbacher, Serge Planton, Marco Reale, Katrin Schröder, Maria Vittoria Struglia, Andrea Toreti, Michael Tsimplis, Uwe Ulbrich, Elena Xoplaki, 2012: Introduction: Mediterranean Climate—Background Information. In:
P.Lionello (ed.): The Climate of the Mediterranean Region, From the past to the future, Elsevier, London, ISBN: 9780124160422, pages XXXV-XC
Nissen, K.M., G.C. Leckebusch, J.G. Pinto and U. Ulbrich, 2012: Mediterranean cyclones and windstorms in a changing climate, Regional Environmental Change, DOI: 10.1007/s10113-012-0400-8 Ulbrich, Uwe, Piero Lionello, Danijel Belušic´, Jucundus Jacobeit, Peter Knippertz, Franz G. Kuglitsch, Gregor C. Leckebusch, Jürg Luterbacher, Maurizio Maugeri, Panagiotis Maheras, Katrin M. Nissen, Valentina Pavan,
Joaquim G. Pinto, Hadas Saaroni, Stefanie Seubert, Andrea Toreti, Elena Xoplaki, Baruch Ziv, 2012: Climate of the Mediterranean: Synoptic Patterns, Temperature, Precipitation, Winds, and their Extremes. In: P.Lionello (ed.): The Climate of the Mediterranean Region, From the past to the future, Elsevier, Dordrecht, ISBN: 9780124160422, 301-346
Ulbrich, U., und T. Pardowitz, 2012: Möglichkeiten und Grenzen der Vorhersage von Gefahren durch Extremwetterereignisse, In: Gerhold, L., Schiller, J. (Hrsg): Perspektiven der Sicherheitsforschung, Beiträge aus
dem Forschungsforum öffentliche Sicherheit, Verlag Peter Lang, Frankfurt/M., ISBN 978-3-631-61113-5., 205-217
P. Lionello, L. Cavaleri, K.M. Nissen, C. Pino, F. Raicich, U. Ulbrich, 2012: Severe marine storms in the Northern Adriatic: Characteristics and trends, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 40-41,93-105.

2011

Pinto, J.G., M. Reyers, und U. Ulbrich, 2011: The variable link between PNA and NAO in observations and in multi-century CGCM simulations, Climate Dynamics, 36:337–354, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0770-x Ulbrich, U., 2011: Möglichkeiten und Grenzen der Vorhersage am Beispiel Stürme. Workshop „Naturereignisse & Naturkatastrophen“ des Forschungsforums öffentliche Sicherheit, 14./15. November 2011, Dokumentation, 17 Donat, M.G., Leckebusch, G.C., Wild, S., Ulbrich, U., 2011: Future changes in European winter storm losses and extreme wind speeds inferred from GCM and RCM multi-model simulations, Natural hazards and earth system sciences, 2011, 11, 1351-1370 Donat, M.G.; Pardowitz, T.; Leckebusch, G.C.; Ulbrich, U., Burghoff, O., 2011: High-resolution refinement of a storm loss model and estimation of return periods of loss-intensive storms over Germany, Natural hazards and earth system sciences, 11, 2821-2833 Donat, M.G., Renggli, D., Wild, S., Alexander, L.V., Leckebusch, G.C., Ulbrich, U., 2011: Reanalysis suggests long-term upward trends in European storminess since 1871, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L14703 Renggli, D., Leckebusch, G.C., Ulbrich, U., Gleixner, S.N., Faust, E., 2011: The Skill of Seasonal Ensemble Prediction Systems to Forecast Wintertime Windstorm Frequency over the North Atlantic and Europe, Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 3052-3068

2010

K.M. Nissen, G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, D. Renggli, S. Ulbrich, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Cyclones causing wind storms in the Mediterranean: characteristics, trends and links to large-scale patterns, Natural hazards and earth system sciences, 10, 1379-1391. Donat, M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, S. Wild, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Benefits and limitations of regional multi-model ensembles for storm loss estimations, Climate Research, 44, DOI: 10.3354/cr00891 Donat, M.G., G.C. Leckebusch, S. Wild, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Future changes of European winter storm losses and extreme wind speeds in multi-model GCM and RCM simulations, Natural hazards and earth system sciences, 11, 1351-1370 Donat, M., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Examination of wind storms over Central Europe with respect to circulation weather types and NAO phases, International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1982 Donat, M., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2010: European storminess and associated circulation weather types, Climate Research, DOI: 10.3354/cr00853 Nissen, K., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, D. Renggli, S. Ulbrich, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Cyclones causing wind storms in the Mediterranean: characteristics, trends and links to large-scale patterns, Natural hazards and earth system sciences, Vol. 10, No. 7. pp. 1379–1391 Loukas, A., M.-C.Llassat, U. Ulbrich, 2010: Preface: "Extreme events induced by weather and climate change : evaluation, forecasting and proactive planning", Natural hazards and earth system sciences, Vol. 10, DOI: 10.5194/nhess-10-1895-2010

2009

Santos, J.A., J. G. Pinto, and U. Ulbrich, 2009: On the development of strong ridge episodes over the eastern North Atlantic, Geoph. Res. Lett, 36, L17804, DOI: 10.1029/2009GL039086 Pinto, J.G., S. Zacharias, A.H. Fink, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, 2009: Factors contributing to the development of extreme North Atlantic cyclones and their relationship with the NAO, Clim. Dyn., Vol. 32, 711-737. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-008-0396-4. Ulbrich, U., G.C. Leckebusch, and J.G. Pinto, 2009: Extra-tropical cyclones in the present and future climate: a review, Theo. Appl. Climatology, Vol. 96, No. 1-2, 117-131. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-008-0083-8

2008

Ulbrich, U., 2008 (ed.): Die Nordatlantische Oszillation (NAO), Promet, 34, Nr. 3-4, 77-78, Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, ISSN 0340-4552 Ulbrich, U., 2008: Auswirkungen von Klimaänderungen auf europäische Sturmereignisse – und die Bedeutung von Adaption für künftige Sturmschäden, In: Tetzlaff, G., Karl. H., Overbeck, G.: Wandel von Vulnerabilität und Klima, Müssen unsere vorsorgewerkzeuge angepasst werden?, Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge e.V., Bonn,33-37. Leckebusch, G.C., D. Renggli, U. Ulbrich, 2008: Development and Application of an Objective Storm Severity Measure for the Northeast Atlantic Region, Meteorol Z., 17, 575-587 Leckebusch, G.C., M. Donat, U. Ulbrich, and J.G. Pinto, 2008: Mid-latitude Cyclones and Storms in an Ensemble of European AOGCMs under ACC, CLIVAR Exchanges, Volume 13, No. 3, July 2008 Leckebusch, G.C., D. Renggli, U. Ulbrich, 2008: Development and Application of an Objective Storm Severity Measure for the Northeast Atlantic Region, Meteorol. Z. Pinto, J.G., S. Zacharias, A.H. Fink, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, 2008: Factors contributing to the development of extreme North Atlantic cyclones and their relationship with the NAO, Climate Dynamics, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-008-0396-4 Ulbrich, U., G.C. Leckebusch, H. Paeth, J.G. Pinto, 2008: Veränderung der NAO und ihrer Wirkungen in Klimaszenarien. Promet Ulbrich, U., J.G. Pinto, H. Kupfer, G.C. Leckebusch, T. Spangehl, M. Reyers, 2008: Changing Northern Hemisphere Storm Tracks in an Ensemble of IPCC Climate Change Simulations, J. Climate, Vol. 21, No. 8, 1669-1679. DOI: 10.1175/2007JCLI1992.1. Ulbrich, U., G.C. Leckebusch, J. Pinto, 2008: Extra-tropical cyclones in the present and future climate: a review, Theo. Appl. Climatology

2007

Hanson, C., J. P. Palutikof, M. T. J. Livermore, L. Barring, M. Bindi, J. Corte-Real, R. Durao, C. Giannakopoulos, P. Good, T. Holt, Z. Kundzewicz, G.C. Leckebusch, M. Moriondo, M. Radziejewski, J. Santos, P. Schlyter, M. Schwarb, I. Stjernquist, U. Ulbrich, 2007: Modelling the Impact of Climate Extremes: An overview of the MICE project, Climatic Change, Vol. 81, 163–177. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-006-9230-3. Leckebusch, G.C., U. Ulbrich, L. Fröhlich, J.G. Pinto, 2007: Property loss potentials for European mid-latitude storms in a changing climate, Geophys. Res. Letters, 34, L05703, doi:10.1029/2006GL027663 Pinto, J.G., E.L. Fröhlich, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, 2007: Changing European storm loss potentials under modified climate conditions according to ensemble simulations of the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GCM, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 7, 165–175, 2007. Pinto, J.G., U. Ulbrich, G.C. Leckebusch, T. Spangehl, M. Reyers, S. Zacharias, 2007: Changes in storm track and cyclone activity in three SRES ensemble experiments with the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GCM, Climate Dynamics, 29, 195-210. DOI 10.1007/s00382-007-0230-4.

2006

Leckebusch, G.C., B. Koffi, U. Ulbrich, J. Pinto, T. Spangehl, S. Zacharias, 2006: Analysis of frequency and intensity of winter storm events in Europe on synoptic and regional scales from a multi-model perspective, Climate Research, 31, 59-74 Lionello, P., P. Malanotte-Rizzoli, R. Boscolo, P. Alpert, V. Artale, L. Li, J. Luterbacher, W. May, R. Trigo, M. Tsimplis, U. Ulbrich, and E. Xoplaki, 2006: The Mediterranean climate: An Overview of the Main Characteristics and Issues. In: P. Lionello, P. Malanotte-Rizzoli & R. Boscolo (Eds), Mediterranean Climate Variability, Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 398—415. Pinto, J. G., T. Spangehl, U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2006. Assessment of winter cyclone activity in a transient ECHAM4-OPYC3 GHG experiment, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 15, 1-13. Santos, J.A., J. Corte-Real, U. Ulbrich,and J. Palutikof, 2006. European winter precipitation extremes and large-scale circulation: A coupled model and its scenarios, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 87, 85-102. Ulbrich, U., W. May, L. Li, P. Lionello, J. G. Pinto and S. Somot, 2006: The Mediterranean climate change under global warming. In: P. Lionello, P. Malanotte-Rizzoli & R. Boscolo (Eds), Mediterranean Climate Variability, Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 398—415.

2005

Kundzewicz, Z.W., U. Ulbrich, T. Brücher, D. Graczyk, A. Krüger, G.C. Leckebusch, L. Menzel, I. Pinskwar, M. Radziejewski and M. Szwed, 2005: Summer Floods in Central Europe – Climate Change Track?, Natural Hazards, Volume 36, Number 1-2, 165–189. DOI:10.1007/s11069-004-4547-6. Pinto, J. G., T. Spangehl, U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2005. Sensitivities of a cyclone detection and tracking algorithm: individual tracks and climatology, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 14, 823-838.

2004

Fink, A.H., T. Brücher, A. Krüger, G.C. Leckebusch, J.G. Pinto, U. Ulbrich, 2004: The 2003 European summer heat waves and drought - Synoptic diagnosis and impact, Weather, 59, 209-216. Kundzewicz, Z.W., D. Graczyk, I. Pinskwar, M. Radziejewski,. M. Szwed, L. Bärring, C. Giannakopoulos, T. Holt, J. Palutikof, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, M. Schwarb, 2004: Changes in the occurrence of extremes, Part I, climatic background, Papers on global change IGBP, 11, 9-20. Kundzewicz, Z.W., D. Graczyk, I. Pinskwar, M. Radziejewski,. M. Szwed, L. Bärring, C. Giannakopoulos, J. Palutikof, G.C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, M. Schwarb, 2004: Changes in the occurrence of extremes, Part II, impacts on selected sectors, Papers on global change IGBP, 11, 21-32. Leckebusch, G.C., U. Ulbrich, 2004: On the relationship between cyclones and extreme windstorm events over Europe under climate change, Global and Planetary Change, 44, 181-193.

2003

Eckhardt, K., U. Ulbrich, 2003: Potential impacts of climate change on groundwater recharge and streamflow in a central european low mountain range, J. Hydrology, 284, 244-252. Klawa, M., U. Ulbrich, 2003: A model for the estimation of storm losses and the identification of severe winter storms in Germany, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 3, 725-732. Knippertz, P., U. Ulbrich, F. Marques, J. Corte-Real, 2003: Decadal changes in the link El Niño, NAO and European/North African rainfall, Int. J. Climatology, 23, 1293 - 1311. Ulbrich, U., T. Brücher, A.H. Fink, G.C. Leckebusch, A. Krüger, J. G. Pinto, 2003: The Central European Floods in August 2002 ,Part I: Rainfall periods and flood development, Weather, 58, 371-376. Ulbrich, U., T. Brücher, A.H. Fink, G.C. Leckebusch, A. Krüger, J.G. Pinto, 2003: The Central European Floods in August 2002 , Part II: Synoptic causes and considerations with respect to climatic change, Weather, 58, 434-441.

2001

Böllinger, G., A. Krüger, R. Röger, U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2001: Die Wirkung anthropogener Klimaänderungen auf die Grundwasserneubildung und die Reaktionsmöglichkeiten der vollziehenden Gewalt (Effect of the anthropogenic climate change on ground water recharge, and possibilities for a reaction of state institutions), Natur und Recht, 23, 121-128. Krüger, A., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2001: Groundwater recharge in Northrhine-Westfalia predicted by a statistical model for greenhouse gas scenarios, Physics and Chemistry of the earth (B), 26, 853-861. Ulbrich, U., A.H. Fink, M. Klawa and J.G. Pinto , 2001: Three extreme storms over Europe in December 1999, Weather, 56, 70-80.

2000

Christoph, M., U. Ulbrich, J.M. Oberhuber, E. Roeckner, 2000: The role of ocean dynamics for low-frequency fluctuations of the NAO in a coupled Ocean-Atmosphere GCM, J. Climate, 13, 2536 - 2549. Hübener, H., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2000: The role of baroclinic instability for Changma rainfall, Korean Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 3,53-66. Knippertz, P., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 2000: Changing cyclones and surface wind speeds over the North-Atlantic and Europe in a transient GHG experiment, Climate Research, 15, 109-122.

1999

Ulbrich, U., M. Christoph , J.G. Pinto, J. Corte-Real, 1999: Dependence of Winter Precipitation over Portugal on NAO and Baroclinic Wave Activity, Int. J. Climatol., 19, 379-390. Ulbrich, U., M. Christoph, 1999: A Shift of the NAO and Increasing Storm Track Activity over Europe due to Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Forcing, Climate Dynamics, 15, 551-559.

1997

Christoph, M., U. Ulbrich, P. Speth, 1997: Midwinter suppression of Northern Hemisphere Storm Track Activity in the Real Atmosphere and in GCM Experiments, J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 1589-1599.

1996

Fink, A., U. Ulbrich, H. Engel, 1996: Aspects of the January 1995 flood in Germany, Weather, 51 (Feb. 1996), 34-39. Haak, U., U. Ulbrich, 1996: Verification of an objective cyclone climatology for the North Atlantic, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, N.F. , 5, 24 - 30. Lunkeit, F., M. Ponater, R. Sausen, M. Sogalla, U. Ulbrich, M. Windelband, 1996: Cyclonic activity in a warmer climate, Beitr. Phys. Atmosphäre, 69, 393 – 407 Ulbrich, U., A. Fink, 1996: The January 1995 flood in Germany: Meteorological versus Hydrological causes, Phys. Chem. Earth, 20, 439-444.

1995

Christoph, M., U. Ulbrich, U. Haak, 1995: Faster determination of the intraseasonal variability of stormtracks using Murakami's recursive filter, Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 578 - 581. Ulbrich, U., H.-F. Graf, I. Kirchner, 1995: The impact of El Niño and volcanic forcing on the atmospheric energy cycle and the zonal mean atmospheric circulation, Beitr. Phys. Atmosph., 68, 59 - 74., auch erschienen in: Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie Hamburg, Report Nr. 133, 24 pp Ulbrich, U., 1995: Comments on „Large-scale aspects of the United States hydrologic cycle, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 76, No. 9, 391-392.

1994

von Storch, H., D. Schriever, K. Arpe, G.W. Branstator, R. Legnani, U. Ulbrich, 1994: Numerical experiments on the atmospheric response to cold equatorial Pacific conditions („La Niña“) during northern summer, The Global Atmosphere and Ocean System, 2, 99 - 120.

1993

Ulbrich, U. , G. Bürger, D. Schriever, H. von Storch, S.L. Weber, and G. Schmitz, 1993: The effect of a regional increase in ocean surface roughness on the tropospheric circulation, a GCM experiment, Climate Dynamics., 8, 277 - 285.

1992

Ulbrich, U., M. Ponater, 1992: Energy cycle diagnosis of two versions of a low resolution GCM, Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 50, 197 - 210.

1991

Ulbrich, U. and P. Speth, 1991: The global energy cycle of stationary and transient atmospheric waves. Results from ECMWF analyses, Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 45, 125 – 138.

1987

Ulbrich, U., L. Ahorner und A. Ebel, 1987: Statistical investigations on diurnal and annual periodicity and on tidal triggering of local earthquakes in Central Europe, J. Geophys, 61, 150-157.