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Dr. Henning Rust
Freie Universität Berlin
Institut für Meteorologie
Wissenschaftlicher Mitarbeiter
Carl-Heinrich-Becker-Weg 6-10
—
Raum
283/285 (Altbau)
12165
Berlin
Tel.:
+49-(0)30 838-71147
E-Mail: henning.rust@met.fu-berlin.de
Research Interests
- Validation of decadal climate prediction systems
- Precipitation modelling and downscaling
- Extreme value statistics
- Weather types: definition and comparison
- Time series analysis: detection of long-range dependence, FARIMA models, surrogate data (cf. Work with Victor Venema), trend detection
Academic Career
- Since 2012 Freie Universität Berlin (FUB) - Institute of Meteorology (IfM):
Assisting the coordination of MiKlip Modul E. MiKlip is a joint research project on decadal climate predictions; Modul E is dedicated to validation. - February - December 2011 Post-Doc at IfM-FUB working on small scale precipitation modelling
- December 2009 - January 2011 on parental leave
- June 2008 - November 2009 Post-Doc at the LSCE working on weather typed downscaling in the Amazonian Basin, Senegal and the Mediterranean region within the project REGYNA
- June 2007 - June 2008 Post-Doc at the DYCOS (Interdisciplinary Center for the Dynamics of Complex Systems) at the University of Potsdam in the projects Extreme Events, Causes and Consequences (E2C2) and the Sonderforschungsbereich 555: Complex Nonlinear Processes: C1 - Nonlinear Climate Dynamics: Data Analysis and Modelling
- May 2007, PhD thesis Detection of Long-Range Dependece - Applications in Hydrology and Climatology at the Potsdam Institut for Climate Impact Research (PIK), supervisor H.-J. Schellnhuber
- May 2001, Diploma thesis Modellselektion und Parameterschätzung in Dynamischen Systemen - Zwei Anwendungen (in german) at the Center for Data Analysis and Modelling at the University of Freiburg, supervisor J. Timmer
- B.Sc. thesis Characterisation of DMPC/DHPC Mixtures by 31P and 2H Solid-State NMR at the Brock University, St.Catherine, Ontario, Canada, supervisor E. Sternin
Projects
-
Validation of decadal prediction systems (MiKlip Module E)
- Validation of processes related to European winter storms (MiKlip-EnsDiVal, Tim Kruschke)
- Modelling threshold excesses of particulate matter (Andrea Niesel)
- Location of ITCZ for prediction of East African precipitation (Joseph Njeri)
- Statistical modelling of extreme precipitation (Madlen Fischer)
- Analysis of the seasonal cycle (Diploma thesis Ralf Liebermann, in german)
Publications
in preparation
H.W. Rust, M. Fischer, U. Ulbrich, Seasonality in extreme precipitation - Using Extreme value statistics to describe the annual cycle in German daily precipitation extremes.
submitted
H. W. Rust, M. Vrac, B. Sultan and M. Lengaigne: Influence of Weather Types on Senegal Precipitation - Towards GLM-Based Downscaling. submitted to Journal of Climate (2012)
2012
D. Maraun, T.J. Osborn, H.W. Rust, The influence of synoptic airflow on UK daily precipitation extremes. Part II: regional climate model and EOBS data validation. Clim. Dyn. 39:287-301, 2012
2011
P. Yiou, B. D. Malamud and H. W. Rust: Preface "Extreme Events: Nonlinear Dynamics and Time Series Analysis". Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 18, 895-897, 2011
M. Ghil, P. Yiou, S. Hallegatte, B. D. Malamud, P. Naveau, A. Soloviev, P. Friederichs, V. Keilis-Borok, D. Kondrashov, V. Kossobokov, O. Mestre, C. Nicolis, H. W. Rust, P. Shebalin, M. Vrac, A. Witt, and I. Zaliapin: Extreme Events: Dynamics, Statistics and Prediction. Nonlin. Proc. Geophys., 18, 295-350, 2011
D. Maraun,H.W. Rust and T.J. Osborn: The Influence of Synoptic Airflow on UK Daily Precipitation Extremes. PartI: Observed Spatio-Temporal Relations. Clim. Dyn., 36:261-275, 2011
H.W. Rust, M. Kallache, H.-J. Schellnhuber and J.P. Kropp: Confidence Intervals for Flood Return Level Estimation using a Bootstrap Approach, InExtremis:Disruptive Events and Correlations in Hydrology and Climate, J. Kropp and H.J. Schellnhuber (Eds.), Springer, 2011
M.Kallache, H.W. Rust, H. Lange and J. Kropp: Extreme Value Analysis for Non-Stationary Data, InExtremis: Disruptive Events and Correlations in Hydrology and Climate, J. Kropp and H.J. Schellnhuber (Hrsg.), Springer, 2011
2010
H.W. Rust, M. Vrac, M. Lengaigne and B. Sultan: Quantifying Differences in Circulation Patterns Based on Probabilistic Models. J. Climate, 23:6573-6589, 2010
P. Yiou, E. Bard, P. Dandin, B. Legras, P. Naveau, H.W. Rust, L. Terray and M. Vrac: Statistical Issues about Solar-Climate Relations. Clim. Past., 6:565-573, 2010
D. Maraun, F. Wetterhall, A.M. Ireson, R.E. Chandler, E.J. Kendon, M. Widmann, S. Brienen, H.W.Rust, T. Sauter, M. Themeßl,V.K.C. Venema, K.P. Chun, C.M. Goodess, R.G. Jones, C. Onof, M. Vrac and I. Thiele-Eich: Precipitation Downscaling under Climate Change. Recent Developements to Bridge the Gap between Dynamical Models and the End User. Rev. Geophys., 48, RG3003, 2010
D. Maraun, H.W. Rust and T.J. Osborn: Synoptic airflow and UK daily precipitation extremes. Development and validation of a vector generalised linear model. Extremes, 13(2):133-153, 2010
2009
H.W. Rust, D. Maraun and T.J. Osborn: Modelling Seasonality in Extreme Precipitation: A UK Case Study. Europ. Phys. J. Special Topics, 174:91-97, 2009
H.W. Rust: The Effect of Long-Range Dependence on Modelling Extremes with the Generalised Extreme Value Distribution. Europ. Phys. J. Special Topics, 174:99-111, 2009
D. Maraun, H.W. Rust and T.J. Osborn: The Annual Cycle of Heavy Precipitation Across the United Kinddom: A Model Based on Extreme Value Statistics. Int. J. Climatol., 29(12):1731-1744, 2009
2008 and ealier
H.W. Rust,O. Mestre and V.K.C Venema: Fewer Jumps, Less Memory: Homogenized Temperature Records and Long Memory. J. Geophys. Res., 113:D19110, 2008
V.K.C Venema, S. Bachner, H.W. Rust, and C. Simmer: Statistical Characteristics of Surrogate Data based on Geophysical Measurements. Nonlin. Proc. Geophys., 13:449-466, 2006
M.Kallache, H.W. Rust and J.P. Kropp: Trend assessment: Applications for hydrology and climate research. Nonlin. Proc. Geophys., 12:201-210, 2005
D. Maraun, H.W. Rust and J. Timmer: Tempting Long-Memory - On the Interpretation of DFA Results. Nonlin. Proc. Geophys.,11:495-503, 2004
D. Maraun, W. Horbelt, H.W. Rust, J. Timmer, F. Drepper and H.P. Happersberger: Identification of Rate Constants and Non-Observable Absorption Spectra in Nonlinear Biochemical Dynamics. Int. J. Bif. Chaos, 14:(6)2081-2092, 2004
H.W. Rust, H.-J. Schellnhuber and J.P. Kropp: Trend Assessment of Correlated Data, Complexity and Integrated Resources Management, Transactions of the 2nd Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, iEMSs, C. Pahl-Wostl, S. Schmidt, A.E. Rizzoli, and T. Jakeman (Eds.), Manno, Schweiz, 2004
H.U. Voss, H.W. Rust, W. Horbelt and J. Timmer: A combined approach for the indentification of continuous non-linear systems. Int. J. Adapt. Contr. Signal. Process., 17:335-352, 2003
H.U. Voss, M. Peifer, W. Horbelt, H.W. Rust and J. Timmer: Identification of Nonlinear Dynamical Systems from Experimental Data, Chaos and its Reconstruction, G. Gousebet et al. (Eds.), 2003
J. Timmer, H.W. Rust, W. Horbelt, H.U. Voss: Parametric, Nonparametric and Parametric Modelling of a Chaotic Circuit Time Series. Phys. Lett. A, 274:123-134, 2000
H.U. Voss, M. Peifer, W. Horbelt, H.W. Rust and J. Timmer: Parametric, Nonparametric and Parametric Modeling of a Chaotic Circuit Time Series, NOLTA-Proceedings, 2:713-716, 2000
Software
R-package farima
A collection of tools to analyse geophysical or other time series with
respect to long-range dependence (long-memory) using the Whittle
estimator and FARIMA[p,d,q] models.
R-package gaussDiff (also available on CRAN)
A collection of difference measures for multivariate Gaussian probability
density functions, such as the Euclidian mean, the Mahalanobis distance,
the Kullback-Leibler divergence, the J-Coefficient, the Minkowski
L2-distance, the Chi-square divergence and the Hellinger Coefficient.
