In preparation

H. W. Rust, M. Fischer, T. Kruschke, U.  Ulbrich: Verifying decadal air temperature predictions against various reanalyses (to be submitted to Meteorol. Z.)

H. W. Rust, B. Schyska, T. Kruschke, U. Ulbrich: A new framework for the qualitative description of spatial cyclone distrubution (to be submitted to Tellus)

I. Kröner, M. Donat, H. W. Rust: Drift Adjustment for Extreme Temperature Threshold Exceedances in Decadal Climate Predictions (to be submitted to JGR)


     N. Otero, J. Silmann, K. A. Mar, H. W. Rust, et al.: A multi-model comparison of meteorological drivers of surface ozone over Europe. submitted to Atmos. Chem. Phys.

     K. Fackeldey, P. Koltai, P. Névir, H. W. Rust, A. Schild, M. Weber: From Metastable to Coherent Sets – time-discretization schemes. submitted to Multiscale Modelling and Simulation


M. Fischer, H. W. Rust, U. Ulbrich: Seasonality in extreme  precipitation - Using Extreme value statistics to describe the annual cycle in German daily precipitation extremes, Meteorol. Z. 2017

A. Pasternack, H. W. Rust, J. Bhend, M. Liniger, W. A. Müller: Parametric Decadal Climate Forecast Recalibration, Geosci. Model Develop., 2017

C. Ritschel, H.W. Rust, U. Ulbrich: Precipitation extremes on multiple time scales -- Bartlett-Lewis Rectangular Pulse Model and Intensity-Duration-Frequency curves, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.

S. Liersch, J. Teckenburg, H. W. Rust, A. Dobler, M. Fischer, T. Kruschke, H. Koch, F. Hattermann: Are we using the right fuel to drive hydrological models? A climate impact study in the Upper Blue Nile, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.

Published in peer-reviewed journals


M. Fischer, H. W. Rust, U. Ulbrich: A spatial and seasonal climatology of extreme precipitation return-levels: A case study. Spatial Statistics, 2017, DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2017.11.007

M. Walz, T. Kruschke, H. W. Rust, G. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich: Quantifying the extremity of windstorms for regions featuring infrequent events, Atmos. Sci. Lett., 2017, DOI: 10.1002/asl.758


S. Babian, H. W. Rust, K. Prömmel, J. Grieger, U. Cubasch: Representation of Antarctic Oscillation and related precipitation in the MPI Earth System Model, Meteorol. Z., 2016, 767-774, DOI: 10.1127/metz/2016/0661

J. Marotzke, W. A. Müller, F. S. E. Vamborg, P. Becker, U. Cubasch, H. Feldmann, F. Kaspar, C. Kottmeier, C. Marini, I. Polkova, K. Prömmel, H. W. Rust, D. Stammer, U. Ulbrich, C. Kadow, A. Köhl, J. Kröger, T. Kruschke, J. G. Pinto, H. Pohlmann, M. Reyers, M. Schröder, F. Sienz, C. Timmreck, M. Ziese: MiKlip - a National Research Project on Decadal Climate Prediction, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2016, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00184.1.

Otero Felipe, N., Sillmann, J., Schnell, J. L., Rust, H. W., Butler, T. M.:  Synoptic and meteorological drivers of extreme ozone concentrations over Europe. - Environ. Res. Lett., 11, 2, 024005, 2016. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/2/024005


T. Kruschke, H. W. Rust, C. Kadow, W. Müller, H. Pohlmann, G. C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich: Probabilistic evaluation of decadal predictions for Northern Hemisphere winter storms, Meteorol. Z., 2015, DOI: 10.1127/metz/2015/0641

C. Kadow, S. Illing, O. Kunst, H. W. Rust, H. Pohlmann, W. Müller, U. Cubasch: Evaluation of forecasts by accuracy and spread in the MiKlip decadal climate prediction system, Meteorol. Z., 2015, DOI: 10.1127/metz/2015/0639

H. W. Rust, A. Richling, P. Bissolli, U. Ulbrich: Linking teleconnection patterns to European temperature – a multiple linear regression model. Meteorol. Z., 24, 411 - 423, 2015

H.W. Rust, T. Kruschke, A. Dobler, M. Fischer, U. Ulbrich. Discontinous daily temperatures in the WATCH forcing data sets. J. Hydrometeorol. 16(1):465-472, 2015, DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-14-0123.1


farima - Software package farima for the environment for statistical computing R: Algorithms and tools for parameter estimation and model selection for long-memory processes. H. W. Rust, 2007

gaussDiff (also available on CRAN) - Software package gaussDiff for the environment for statistical computing R: A set of difference measures for multivariate Gaussian probability distributions. H. W. Rust, 2007

IDF: Estimation and Plotting of IDF Curves (also available on CRAN) -  Christoph Ritschel, Carola Detring, Sarah Joedicke

BLRPM: Stochastic Rainfall Generator Bartlett-Lewis Rectangular Pulse Model (also available on CRAN) - Christoph Ritschel